First thanks to StockCharts.com for the following charts…
Today's sell off April 13, 2004
Today we saw a sharp sell off in silver. Those that have followed the silver marker closely know that silver is not only a smaller market than gold, but also moves in greater percentages both up and down. Gold was off three percent, but silver fell over seven percent!
From a longer term perspective we wish to remind readers of the fact that just one year ago silver was almost exactly three dollars (U.S. dollars) lower than yesterday's close. Certainly in our view the longer term major trend is still UP, however this break of the recent parabolic move in silver prices is suggesting to us that a pullback to the seven dollar level could be expected.
For the Record we sent the following out to our paid subscribers, as silver moved above the $7.20 level.
"We did send an email alert out mid month anticipating a temporary top in the mining equities and since that time the major silver companies have traced out indecision patterns, meaning they have not continued to make new highs even though silver itself has continued to set new highs.
This usually precedes a correction in the price of the metal.
Look at the chart above and note the channel formation from early 2004 until present. This pattern indicates a high level consolidation and the next move is normally given by a breakout up through the channel, or down through the channel.
David Morgan for
Stone Investment Group
David Morgan (Silver-Investor.com) is a widely recognized analyst in the precious metals industry; he consults for hedge funds, high net-worth investors, mining companies, depositories and bullion dealers. He is the publisher of The Morgan Report on precious metals, the author of Get the Skinny on Silver Investing, and a featured speaker at investment conferences in North America, Europe and Asia. You can receive a free 30 day trial subscription here http://www.silver-investor.com/joinfreelist.html