Indexes Continue Their March Up As Investors’ Euphoria Extends

December 22, 2014

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral

Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral

Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral

Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The main U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.2% and 0.5% on Friday, extending their recent rally, as investors continued to react to last week’s FOMC rate decision release. The S&P 500 index got closer to its December 5th all-time high of 2,079.47. The nearest important resistance level is at around 2,080. On the other hand, support level is at 2,050-2,060, among others. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far, however, we can see some short-term overbought conditions:

Expectations before the opening of today’s trading session are positive, with index futures currently up 0.3%. The European stock market indexes have gained 0.7-0.9% so far. Investors will now wait for the Existing Home Sales number release at 10:00 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) trades close to last week’s highs, as it fluctuates along the level of 2,070. The nearest important support level is at around 2,055-2,060, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) got closer to the level of 4,300, as it retraced most of its previous decline. The nearest important level of resistance remains at 4,300, as the 15-minute chart shows:

Concluding, the broad stock market continued its rally on Friday, following a sharp rebound off last week’s lows. We can see some short-term overbought conditions, however, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades. We will let you know when we think it is safe to get back in the market.

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak

Stock Trading Strategist

Stock Trading Alerts

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All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Paul Rejczak is a stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market behavior based on both traditional and innovative methods of technical analysis. Paul has made his name by developing mechanical trading systems. Paul is the author of Sunshine Profits’ premium service for stock traders: Stock Trading Alerts.

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