S&P500: Morphology 101

August 31, 2017

Below is a daily chart for the SPX which shows you a good example of a morphing rising wedge. As you can see there was a false breakout above the top rail and then an equal false breakout below the bottom rail, symmetry false breakouts, red circles.

When that occurs we need to adjust the top and bottom trendliness to the new high and low to get the new pattern. The original rising wedge is now shown by the blue dashed trendlines with the new rising wedge the solid blue trendlines.

If the price action breaks out above the new top rail we’ll have a bullish rising wedge that has been in consolidation mode going back to February which is a nice amount of time for a consolidation pattern to develop for this type of move. On the other hand if the price action breaks below the bottom rail then we’ll have a bearish rising wedge. My experience has been that the original pattern is the correct pattern with the morphing process just making the pattern a little bit bigger.

Also keep in mind this rising wedge could be a halfway pattern to the upside if we get the breakout above the top rail. Also these types of patterns that slope up in the direction of the trend tells us the impulse move is very strong. So we wait for confirmation one way or the other.

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Rambus Chartology is Primarily a Goldbug TA Site following the precious metals markets. Chartology is the Unique Blend of Technical Chart Pattern Identification and Market Psychology,  Developed by Rambus During the Tech Mania of the late 1990s.  His Early Training came the old fashioned way...Reading Edwards and McGee's Bible of Technical Analysis and spending years with a sharp pencil graph paper and ruler refining his skills and accuracy. Visit the Rambus Chartology website at http://rambus1.com/.

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