Gold Price Down Amid Bearish Outside Markets; U.S. Jobs Report on Deck
San Francisco (May 7) Gold prices ended the U.S. day session moderately lower Thursday. A firmer U.S. dollar index and lower crude oil prices on this day worked against the precious metals market bulls. Traders and investors are now squarely focused on Friday morning’s U.S. jobs report, which is arguably the most important U.S. economic data of the month. June Comex gold was last down $8.20 at $1,182.20 an ounce. July Comex silver was last down $0.186 at $16.32 an ounce.
The key non-farm payrolls number in Friday’s employment report from the U.S. Labor Department is forecast to come in at up 220,000. However, a lower-than-expected number in Wednesday’s ADP national employment report (up 169,000) has many looking for a miss to the downside in Friday’s jobs number. Look for Friday morning to be the most active trading period of the week, in the wake of the jobs data.
U.S. and European bond yields have been on the rise recently (lower prices). This comes despite some keener uncertainty about the U.S. economy and the European Union’s concern about Greece repaying its debt obligations. This situation is at least a bit odd and it could be an early signal of a major shifting of trader and investor sentiments that have been place for many yearsâsentiments that have been mostly driven by policies of the U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank. The most obvious shift, as evidenced by rising bond yields, is one of less concern about price deflation and the onset of some price inflationary pressures. This scenario is a bullish one for the raw commodity sector.
The London P.M. fix is $1,187.00 versus the previous A.M. fixing of $1,183.00.
Technically, June gold futures prices closed nearer the session low today. Gold bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside near-term price breakout objective is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at $1,200.00. Bears' next near-term downside price breakout objective is closing prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of $1,168.40. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,192.00 and then at $1,200.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $1,177.90 and then at $1,168.40. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 2.5
July silver futures prices closed nearer the session low today. Silver bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at this week’s high of $16.765 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the April low of $15.595. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $16.555 and then at $16.765. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $16.125 and then at $16.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.
May N.Y. copper closed down 65 points at 292.60 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. The key “outside markets” were bearish for copper today as the U.S. dollar index was higher and crude oil prices were lower. Copper bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. Copper bulls' next upside breakout objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 300.00 cents.