Pain Avoiding, Pleasure Seeking

July 16, 2020

These are the main two forces that are driving humans. Diego Maradona, one of the most successful footballers of all time, was motivated for his success by desperately wanting to leave the Argentinian slums that he and his family were living in (pain avoiding). He wanted to buy a house for his parents and his four sister (pleasure seeking). He managed both at a young age and was worshiped like a deity mentioned next to the pope in the same sentence. Entangled with the mafia, drug habits and 50 Mio. US-Dollar outstanding tax liabilities he eventually crashed. A former superstar with a net worth of US$100,000 today! Why do athlete hero stories so often end like this? Why can such hard work not sustain true long-term rewards?  Pain avoiding, pleasure seeking.

Traders are often compared to athletes. If they would be public figures their stories would read even more dramatic. The importance of goal-setting cannot be emphasized enough. If your motivation is to get out from under (pain avoiding), the likelihood of failed success is very high. In trading you do not get celebrated and are not standing on the top of a mountain enjoying the view and feeling fatigued muscles. It is very likely that pain avoiding motivation even if enough distance has been created from ones painful past will eventually backfire.

Silver, Daily Chart: More Entries

Silver in US-Dollar, daily chart as of July 15th, 2020.

After last weeks Silver chartbook release where we took partial profits into the daily time frame breakout (red down arrow), we had yet another long entry (bright green up arrow) on the 10th of July 2021. On the 15th of this month we took again partial profits from this entry (see our quad exit strategy). With an entry at US$18.55 and an exit at US$19.43 for this part of the trade, a 4.74% profit was achieved.

Silver In US-Dollar, Weekly Chart: No Need For Greed

Silver in US-Dollar, weekly chart as of July 15th, 2020.

The weekly chart shows why we took profits again. With a move from US$11.639 we enjoyed quite a run. Last year in September this distribution zone (red horizontal band) was strongly rejected by price. Consequently, a temporary retracement towards the supply zone (green horizontal band) is likely. This again would provide for low risk entries.

Silver, Hourly Chart: Creep Up – The Strongest Form Of Trend

Silver in US-Dollar, hourly chart as of July 15th, 2020.

Lower time frames are often a good source for what is going on in detail. The hourly chart provides data with its  market profile representation that we are in a creep up scenario for the last week’s sessions. “Up creep” being the strongest, meaning most sustainable type of trend. Prices closing at the end of the session (vertical blue lines) near or above the point of control (POC) which are the horizontal red lines indicates strength. It is this strength that warrants us for our aggressive reloading behavior and has so far rewarded our style of trading.

Pain avoiding, pleasure seeking

Money in itself has no value. It can be attributed to positive as well as negative spending. This makes goal-setting so important for the market player since money is the only product gained from speculation. You are not in the news, have no skill or product to show off to the world.

The focus needs to be on pleasure seeking goals. If those are of material value only like a debt paid, a vacation taken, a house bought, than a trading career is easily limited. Once these landmarks have been reached it is not unusual for self sabotage mechanisms to kick in. Consequently, traders often lose or give back an enormous amount of hard earned capital.

Only stating you want to be rich (pleasure seeking) won’t cut it. Or worse:”I don’t want to be poor anymore”(pain avoiding). To avoid giving back money to the market, sound goal-setting, that is in alignment with ones beliefs and life style, and that reflect ones values, is necessary. Trading is a business and all aspects of a business need attention with care. Sound business planing involves clarity of this aspect in detail. You want to map out a detailed road of goals, celebrate milestone moments where you spend some money on yourself as a reward and map out a road that is in alignment with your personality.

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Outstanding abstract reasoning ability and ability to think creatively and originally has led over the last 25 years to extract new principles and a unique way to view the markets resulting in a multitude of various time frame systems, generating high hit rates and outstanding risk reward ratios. Over 20 years of coaching traders with heart & passion, assessing complex situations, troubleshoot and solve problems principle based has led to experience and a professional history of success. Skilled natural teacher and exceptional developer of talent.Avid learner guided by a plan with ability to suppress ego and empower students to share ideas and best practices and to apply principle-based technical/conceptual knowledge to maximize efficiency. 25+ year execution experience (50.000+ trades executed) Trading multiple personal accounts (long and short-and combinations of the two). Amazing market feel complementing mechanical systems discipline for precise and extreme low risk entries while objectively seeing the whole picture. Ability to notice and separate emotional responses from the decision-making process and to stand outside oneself and one’s concerns about images in order to function in terms of larger objectives. Developed exit strategies that compensate both for maximizing profits and psychological ease to allow for continuous flow throughout the whole trading day. In depth knowledge of money management strategies with the experience of multiple 6 sigma events in various markets (futures, stocks, commodities, currencies, bonds) embedded in extreme low risk statistical probability models with smooth equity curves and extensive risk management as well as extensive disaster risk allow for my natural capacity for risk-taking.

1 cubic foot of silver weighs approx 655 pounds whereas 1 cubic foot of gold weighs more than half a ton.

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