Silver is within a long-term rising pattern. However, its shorter-term pattern has been violated following Trump’s tariffs, thus indicating that silver may not be ready for its next advance until the second half of 2025 or beyond. In this article, we will detail the silver price patterns that have formed over the last 10 years, and what their ramifications are for silver into 2025 – 2026.
Silver Long-Term Rising Price Pattern
We will refer to the following chart for the rest of this article, which details silver from 2015 through present:
Note that silver is within a decade+ rising price channel, with higher lows and higher highs being observed every several years (magenta). Presently within the middle of the pattern, this channel would be expected to provide support for silver near $25 per ounce, with sellers expected to emerge near $40.
However, we must place silver within the context of the broader precious metals market. Gold has been making new all-time highs on a near-weekly basis since March of 2024. Throughout history, silver tends to follow gold, yet often on a delayed basis. Silver is still below its previous all-time high of $50 per ounce, set in 1980 and repeated again 31 years later in 2011. Thus, our bias should be that silver should move higher to follow gold eventually. The key question is: when?
Silver Shorter-Term Pattern Has Broken
Let us turn to the shorter-term pattern contained within the larger decade+ rising channel: a rising wedge (blue). This embedded rising pattern began in late-2022 and also...