Commodity Price Rout Extends Toward 13-Year Low as Gold Shunned on Fed

July 20, 2015

Washington (July 20)  The rout in commodities deepened with prices heading for the lowest close since 2002 as the prospect of higher U.S. interest rates sent gold tumbling.

Raw materials are losing favor with investors as the dollar gains amid signals from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen that the central bank may raise rates this year on the back of an improving U.S. economy. Higher borrowing costs curb the attractiveness of commodities such as gold, which doesn’t pay interest or give returns like assets including bonds and equities.

The Bloomberg Commodity Index dropped as much as 1.1 percent, falling for a fifth day in the longest stretch of declines since March. Gold futures sank to the weakest in more than five years while industrial metals, grains, Brent crude and U.S. natural gas also slid as a measure of the dollar climbed to the highest since April 13.

“Any increase in U.S. interest rates should further strengthen the dollar, prompting more fund outflows from commodities, metals and emerging-market assets,” Vattana Vongseenin, the chief executive officer of Phillip Asset Management Co. in Bangkok, said by phone.

With raw materials fetching lower prices, shares of commodity producers are tumbling. Stocks of metals and energy firms led losses on the MSCI World Index on Monday.

The Bloomberg Commodity Index slid to as low as 96.5366 and was down 0.9 percent at 96.712 at 12:32 p.m. London time. A close at that level would be the lowest since June 2002.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the currency versus 10 major peers, climbed as much as 0.2 percent. It has gained for four straight weeks, the longest winning streak since the period through March 13.

Gold Slump

Gold futures in New York traded 1.7 percent lower at $1,112.70 an ounce after slumping as much as 4.6 percent in early Asian trade, losing more than $50. Spot bullion lost as much as 4.2 percent.

The slide, which increases the prospect of a third annual drop, follows a revision on Friday by China to its official gold reserves that showed while the holdings increased, the gain was smaller than had been estimated by analysts.

“The market is in one of its bear phases, where any news is bearish news,” said David Baker, Sydney-based managing partner at Baker Steel Capital Managers LLP. “People had expected China’s holdings to be higher,” said Baker, who manages about $150 million and holds shares in gold miners.

U.S. natural gas futures for August delivery dropped as much as 1.6 percent to $2.823 per million British thermal units, after capping the biggest weekly gain since June 12 on Friday.

Source: Bloomberg

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