Gold price retains gains near $1,175 on sluggish dollar

October 21, 2015

Singapore (Oct 21)  Gold retained overnight gains on Wednesday, as a softer dollar increased the metal’s appeal as a hedge, with investors waiting for stronger clues on when the US Federal Reserve will raise US rates. Spot gold was little changed at $1,174.90 an ounce by 6.43am GMT.

The metal gained 0.5% in the previous session, snapping a three-day losing streak. Bullion gained as the euro rose against the dollar on Tuesday, bolstered by solid regional economic data and comments from European Central Bank (ECB) officials suggesting further monetary easing may not be imminent.

A weaker greenback makes dollar-denominated gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, while also increasing its appeal as a hedge. Sluggishness in equity markets also triggered some safe-haven bids for gold.

With gold now close to its 200-day moving average near $1,175, some expect more gains, though trading could be quiet ahead of the ECB policy meeting on Thursday and Fed meeting next week.

Bullion’s rise above its 200-day moving-average "is a technical sign, no doubt, suggesting some upside risk for gold," said OCBC analyst Barnabas Gan.

"(But) a potential higher interest rate environment, better growth story into 2016, are strong fundamental drivers underpinning a bear gold story going forward," Mr Gan said.

Despite the overnight gains, gold was still trading below a three-and-a-half-month high of $1,190.63 hit last week, held back by uncertainty over the timing of the first US rate hike in nearly a decade. Market expectations for a hike have shifted to next year in recent weeks amid concerns about the global economy, although some haven’t completely ruled out a rate rise in December on recent robust US economic data.

Data on Tuesday showed US housing starts rose solidly in September on soaring demand for rental apartments, a sign that the housing market continues to steadily improve. Investors will be closely monitoring US data and comments from Fed officials on monetary policy to gauge when the central bank would raise rates.

The Fed holds two more policy meetings this year: next week and in December. Gold prices are expected to slip to $1,159.88 by October 2016, delegates to the London Bullion Market Association’s annual gathering predicted on Tuesday.


Silver Phoenix Twitter                 Silver Phoenix on Facebook