Gold price rises from four-week low; Fed in focus

September 10, 2015

New York (Sept 10)  Gold rose from four-week lows on Thursday as European stocks snapped a three-day run of gains, but traders remained cautious as they awaited fresh clues on the timing of a U.S. rate hike.

The precious metal fell 1.4 percent on Wednesday, its biggest one-day drop in nearly two months, as strength in stocks and the dollar pushed prices through key chart levels to $1,101.11 an ounce, the lowest since Aug. 11.

Prices could fall further ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Sept. 16-17, traders said.

Spot gold was up 0.6 percent at $1,112.10 an ounce, while U.S. gold futures for December delivery were up $9.10 an ounce at $1,111.10.

"It's very hard to work out what the gold market is pricing in regarding the probability of a hike and what the outcome will be if the FOMC surprises," ICBC Standard Bank strategist Tom Kendall said.

"The one thing that we can say is that the market at this time of year should be enjoying a bit of a seasonal boost, particularly from the Indian subcontinent, and at the moment, that market is very quiet."

Concerns over slowing growth in China and mixed economic data have increased uncertainty about the timing of a U.S. rate increase, which had been expected as early as this month.

Bullion has benefited in recent years from ultra-low rates, which cut the opportunity cost of holding bullion while keeping the dollar in check. But expectations that rates will rise soon have pushed the metal down more than 6 percent this year.

Prices could head back towards July lows after bullion broke through some key chart levels on Wednesday, technical analysts at ScotiaMocatta said. The July low of $1,077 was the weakest since February 2010.

"With regards to support, $1,100 is a key level for the yellow metal, while $1,115-$1,120 will provide resistance to a move higher," MKS said in a note.

World stocks and commodities fell on Thursday after four straight days of gains following a drop in oil prices overnight and more uncertain news from China, Japan, Brazil and New Zealand.

Investor interest in gold has been tepid. SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.61 percent to 678.18 tonnes on Wednesday, the biggest drop in nearly six weeks.

Source: CNBC

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