Gold price rises on softer dollar, while palladium sets record high

February 25, 2019

Bengaluru (Feb 25)  Gold gained on Monday as the dollar eased on optimism that the US and China are nearing a deal to end their trade war while palladium set another record high on deepening supply constraints.

Spot gold rose 0.1% to $1,329.54 an ounce at 10.45am GMT and US gold futures were down 0.1% at $1,331.70.

Capping gains were higher share prices, which rose on signs of progress in the US-China trade conflict.

US President Donald Trump on Sunday said he would delay an increase in US tariffs on Chinese goods thanks to “productive” trade talks and that he and Chinese President Xi Jinping would meet to seal a deal if progress continued.

“The risk sentiment in the equity market is pretty positive against the backdrop of the US-China trade talk news and some support from the Chinese government, which is negative for gold,” said Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke.

“At the same time, we see that the dollar is a tad lower, which is providing a bit of support to gold prices.”

Menke added that expectations of easing trade tensions between US and China would be positive for physical demand from major consumer China.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of other currencies, was down 0.1%.

“Gold is not quite seeing the boost from Trump’s tweet than you might have expected ... Still, it continues to look bullish, with $1,320 having provided adequate support late last week,” Oanda senior market analyst Craig Erlam wrote in a note.

Gold rose to a 10-month peak of $1,346.73 last week and has gained about 4% this year, helped by expectations that the US central bank will pause interest rate increases.

Markets are looking ahead to a testimony by US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday and Wednesday.

In other precious metals, palladium hit a record peak of $1,526.60 an ounce. The autocatalyst metal has soared more than 80% since mid-August on rising global car sales and supply shortages.

“The fundamentals remain strong, but in my perspective it is more technical trading and trend-following which is pushing prices higher,” Julius Baer’s Menke said.

Platinum, which briefly touched its highest since November 20 at $851, was up 1% at $848.59.

The platinum group metals continued to rise as supply risks increased after SA’s Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union (Amcu) planned to extend a strike from Sibanye Gold to other producers in the country, ANZ analysts said in a research note.

Spot silver rose 0.4% to $15.98.


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