India gold imports surge 67% in 2017 on restocking, retail demand

January 2, 2018

Mumbai-Indian (Jan 2)  India’s gold imports surged 67% in 2017 from the previous year to 855 tonnes as jewellers replenished inventory amid a rebound in retail demand, provisional data from precious metals consultancy GFMS showed.

The rebound in purchases by India, the world’s second-biggest consumer of gold after China, could support global prices, which are already near their highest levels in three months. Spot gold values gained more than 13% last year, their best annual performance since 2010.

“Jewellers were replenishing inventory in the first half of 2017 after demonetization in the last quarter of 2016,” Sudheesh Nambiath, a senior analyst with GFMS, a division of Thomson Reuters, said on Tuesday.

In November 2016, Prime Minister Narendra Modi scrapped Rs500 and Rs1,000 banknotes, which accounted for 86% of the value of cash in circulation, part of a crackdown on corruption, tax evasion and the financing of militant groups.

The move created a cash crunch and dampened gold purchases in the last quarter of 2016. As cash became available over 2017, jewellers and dealers started restocking bullion.

Good monsoon rains in 2017 also helped to revive farmers income and retail demand in rural areas, said a Mumbai-based dealer with a private bank. Rural demand takes up two-thirds of India’s total.

In mid-December, global gold prices fell to their lowest level in five months in anticipation of a hike in interest rates from the US Federal Reserve.

“The price correction encouraged trading houses and banks to increase imports last month,” said a Mumbai-based bullion dealer with a private bank.

The country’s overseas gold purchases in December stood at 70 tonnes, up 40% from a year ago, GFMS data showed.

India’s gold imports this month could be higher than last January’s 50 tonnes, but lower than the December imports as demand has been softening due to the recent price rise, said the dealer in Mumbai.

Spot gold rose 0.6% to $1,310.48 an ounce at 4pm, having hit its highest since 26 September at $1,312.34 earlier in the session.


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