Silver Momentum Stays Intact as Price Presses a Technical Inflection Zone
NEW YORK (January 22) Silver remains in a high-energy consolidation phase just below the upper VC PMI sell band, with price oscillating around the daily mean near the 93.60–94.10 zone. From a VC PMI perspective, this is classic “decision-point” behavior, where price compresses between Sell-1 and the daily VC mean before resolving into a directional expansion. The recent high near 95.78 validated the first upside projection, confirming bullish price momentum remains active as long as the market holds above the daily VC PMI support near 92.00–92.50.
Time-cycle alignment continues to reinforce the probability of an inflection window. The dominant 30-, 60-, and 90-day harmonic cycles are converging into a volatility compression phase, often associated with breakout or sharp mean-reversion events. Historically, when silver trades above the weekly mean during these alignments, upside continuation toward Sell-2 becomes statistically favored. The current cycle structure suggests the next momentum window is approaching, where price may attempt to challenge the 98.00–101.00 Square of 9 resistance arc.
Square of 9 geometry highlights the rotational relationship between the recent swing low near 86.12 and the projected resistance cluster at the 180- and 360-degree angles. These levels align closely with the daily and weekly Sell-2 bands, creating a high-confluence zone for profit-taking or potential reversal. If price can close decisively above the 95.50–96.00 quadrant, the next harmonic projection activates toward the psychological 100.00 level, which also corresponds with the weekly Sell-2 near 101.25.
On the downside, failure to hold the daily VC PMI support shifts the system into a lower fractal, re-activating the mean-reversion pathway toward the 90.00 Buy-1 and potentially the 87.50–88.00 Buy-2 zone. These levels represent statistically high-probability accumulation areas within the VC PMI framework, often attracting longer-term positioning during cycle resets.
Market Structure Summary
Above the daily mean, bullish momentum remains intact with upside pressure toward the Square of 9 resistance arc. Below the VC PMI support, probability shifts toward a deeper corrective rotation back into the lower fractal.
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