Silver Price And Miners Are Likely To Bottom

March 12, 2015

silver coinsWe have been expecting a Biannual Cycle Low (BCL) sometime this spring. Next week is critical in determining the silver price direction over the next few weeks. March 18th holds particular importance being a Fed day. There will be significant volatility next week…and a powerful snapback rally is possible. When the BCL arrives, either sooner or later the green box is our potential Target area. 

Silver Weekly Chart

silver weekly chart silver daily chart shows the current circumstances more clearly. In it you will see the possibility of forming the Biannual Cycle low between next week and the end of March. There is also the snapback rally scenario (mentioned above), where silver prices explode higher in a short covering rally, lasting to the end of March. If this were to happen, price would likely fail, continuing lower to form the Biannual Cycle low in Late April or Early May. Our Example Portfolios will likely take positions next week.

Silver Daily Chart

silver daily chart

The big picture for miners shows the $HUI nearing the previous 2008 low. A monthly close below this level will indicate lower levels lie ahead. We will reevaluate where the chart stands with the end of month closing price. There are two likely stopping points if prices do close below major support.

1) at $125 level

2) at $100 level

HUI Monthly Chart

HUI monthly chart

Gold price was down only slightly yesterday, but GDX closed on its lows, down over 6% for the day. Gold price is fast approaching the previous low of $16.34, and it may attempt a double bottom in that area. Next week is shaping up to be very interesting. We will update and alert our Plus and Premium subscribers between reports as needed.

GDX Daily Chart

GDX daily chart

It had an enormous down day yesterday with price closing down another 4% today. It attacked the previous low, but somehow managed to close the day above the blue line. Price may extend all the way down to the $18-$17 range by next week's Fed meeting.

GDXJ Daily Chart

GDXJ daily chart

We are looking at several different setups right now for the Example Portfolios.


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Pierce Wellington is the Senior Technical Analyst and head trading consultant at After making unwise trading decisions early in his investing career, he developed a passion for education and Technical Analysis. His pursuit for educating beginning investors started in 2012 and was created after that. He has been actively trading the Gold and Silver markets for over a decade and is currently pursuing the esteemed Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, which he should complete by May of 2016.

Most silver is produced as a byproduct of copper, gold, lead and zinc refining.