Stocks Again Lower As Investors Continue To Hesitate

January 12, 2015

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral

Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral

Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral

Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes lost between 0.6% and 1.0% on Friday, retracing some of their recent move up, as investors reacted to economic data announcements, among others. The S&P 500 index remains within three-month long consolidation. The nearest important level of resistance is at around 2,060-2,065, marked by last week’s local high. On the other hand, support level remains at around 2,030, marked by previous level of resistance. For now, it looks like an upward correction following late December – early January decline. There is no clear short-term direction, as we can see on the daily chart:

Expectations before the opening of today’s trading session are positive, with index futures currently up 0.3%. The main European stock market indexes have gained 0.2-0.6% so far. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) is in an intraday consolidation, following Friday’s move down. The nearest important resistance level is at 2,040-2,050, and support level remains at 2,030, marked by recent local lows, as the 15-minute chart shows:

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) follows a similar path, as it trades along the level of 4,200. For now, it looks like a flat correction within a short-term uptrend. The nearest important resistance level is at around 4,240-4,250, marked by local highs:

Concluding, the broad stock market gave up some of its earlier gains on Friday, as investors reacted to economic data releases, among others. For now, it looks like a volatile medium-term consolidation following last year’s October-November rally. We prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades. We will let you know when we think it is safe to get back in the market.

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak

Stock Trading Strategist

Stock Trading Alerts

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All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Paul Rejczak is a stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market behavior based on both traditional and innovative methods of technical analysis. Paul has made his name by developing mechanical trading systems. Paul is the author of Sunshine Profits’ premium service for stock traders: Stock Trading Alerts.

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