Economic Data Releases Expected To Move Markets

June 5, 2014

Briefly:  In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,885, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is bullish, following a breakout above consolidation:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.4% on Wednesday, slightly extending their recent uptrend, as investors reacted to some mixed economic data announcements. The S&P 500 index has reached the new all-time high at 1,928.63, moving further away from the level of 1,900. The nearest important support level is at around 1,915, marked by recent local lows, and the next support is at the psychological 1,900. On the other hand, a potential level of resistance is at 1,950. There have been no confirmed trend reversal signals so far. However, a profit-taking correction cannot be excluded here:

Expectations before the opening of today’s session are slightly positive, with index futures up 0.1-0.2% vs. their yesterday’s closing prices. The main European stock market indexes have been mixed between -0.1% and +0.4% so far. Investors will now wait for some economic data releases: Challenger Job Cuts report at 7:30 a.m., ECB Rate Decision at 7:45 a.m., Initial Claims at 8:30 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) trades close to yesterday’s high, along the level of 1,925. The support level remains at around 1,915, marked by recent local lows, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) is in a similar intraday consolidation, close to its recent high. The support level is at around 3,710-3,720. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far, as the 15-minute chart shows:

Concluding, we remain cautiously optimistic, expecting the continuation of the uptrend, and we continue to maintain our already profitable long position. The stop-loss is at 1,885 (S&P 500 index).

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak

Stock Trading Strategist

Stock Trading Alerts

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All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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