This Inflation-Adjusted Silver Chart Tells An Interesting Story

August 5, 2020

This inflation-adjusted silver chart (from macrotrends.net) tells an interesting story:

The level around $18 appears to have been very critical, especially since it is the 1920 and 1968 inflation adjusted high.

It was an important level to cross on the way to the 1980 high, evidenced by the fact that it came back to that level (after it blast through in Dec 1973) before setting off to that all-time high of $118 ($50 in nominal terms).

It sealed the silver bear market in 1984 when it broke down below the line, and the again in 1987, when it failed right at the line.

The recent rally also really ignited when it passed this important level. Based on the fractals that are present, I have no doubt that the recent cross of the $18 area sets silver up for a rally that will easily surpass the $118 inflation-adjusted high.

I have marked two fractals A to F (big fractal) and a to f (small fractal). When two fractals like these appear in this order, and in this manner, then the probability of taking the high of the bigger fractal out is really high.

Where the big fractal (A to F) had a decent rally after its low (F to a), the small fractal will likely have a huge rally after its low at f (and of course we are now in that rally). So, a small rally goes with the big fractal and a huge rally goes with the small fractal.

Confirmation of this comes when price takes out the level at point a (just higher than $50).

Short-Term

Below, is a silver chart with a Pitchfork:

There is a very specific reason why I applied a Pitchfork here, and it has to do with the second chart in this piece.

Notice how the recent rally stopped exactly at the line. It is likely going through the line very soon. It is gunning for the top of the Pitchfork, and this will likely not take very long.

For more on this and this kind of fractal analysis, you are welcome to subscribe to my premium service. I have also recently completed a Silver Fractal Analysis Report as well as a Gold Mining Fractal Analysis Report.

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Hubert Moolman is a self-taught gold and silver analyst who writes a precious metals newsletter specializing in fractal chart analysis and monetary fundamentals (especially gold and silver). He has a background as a Chartered Accountant, and managed his own firm for 9 years. He also has a website that publishes educational articles on gold, silver and the dangers of fiat money. 

The symbol for silver ‘AG’ comes from the Latin word ‘agentum’ meaning silver.

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