Rick Ackerman
Articles by Rick Ackerman
In the latest update to the Rick’s Picks home page, I’ve revised an interest rate forecast for the 30-year bond to — better sit down for this — 0.73%. This is an implied recession/depression away from the current 1.60%, so you may want to...
Now that we are hearing stories about the viral threat of superspreaders, of deepening economic paralysis around the world, and how it could take 18 months to produce a vaccine, investors’ show of bravado in recent weeks seems to have...
Coronavirus anxiety has replaced trade war anxiety as the one-size-fits-all explanation for the stock-market's bad days. Wall Street initially thumbed its nose at the virus threat, staging a strong rally early last week even as the...
Friday’s nasty stock-market reversal was the most interesting we’ve seen in a long while. The ostensible cause of the selloff was mounting anxiety over the spread of the deadly coronavirus from China to the U.S. and elsewhere. Three cases...
Friday’s subdued rally had more than a faint whiff of distribution about it. DaBoyz had shorts on the run in the early going, with the Dow up about 230 points in the first hour. But instead of reaming bears a new orifice as we might have...
It often seem as though trade-deal news drives the markets, but how could this be so when we all know that China will never, ever change its crooked ways? Not that it matters. If Trump hadn’t started a tariff war, it would have made little...
What are we to make of Wall Street’s exuberance on Friday over news concerning a U.S. economic expansion that refuses to die? Employers are hiring, consumers are spending and business is humming despite a dramatic economic slowdown in Asia...
Readers rightfully took me to task last week for putting out two headlines that appeared to at least mildly contradict one other and which taken together could only have left one wanting more clarity. The first said Don’t Load Up on...
We’ve been monitoring Apple shares closely because they look very likely to rise at least 10% above their current $220 price before bulls are spent. AAPL is a powerful engine for the bull market, and a big rally in the stock would all but...
Interest rates on the Ten-Year Note still have a long way to fall if they are going to achieve the 0.73% target shown in the chart (see inset). Although it is mildly bullish that they have bounced from well above the 1.30%...
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