Rick Ackerman

Articles by Rick Ackerman

I was prepared to lead this week's commentary with an emphatically bullish prediction for the dollar, which seems to have few friends these days. Alas, even though a major tone change is coming, it will be at least a few more weeks if...
I've referred to pandemic stimulus as 'dead money', and the latest statistics would seem to bear me out.  Far from pumping up the consumer economy,  quite a few of the trillions of digital dollars ginned up by the central bank...
V-shape mania appears to be tapering off. Years from now, market historians will come to regard the spectacular rally since late March as a case study in mass psychosis. The explosive resurgence of bulls is not only unsupported by economic...
Index futures have done a tentative alley-oop Sunday night, feinting lower before moving as though to challenge Friday's nutty highs. They occurred, apparently, because Trump was not as hard on China as he could have been when he addressed...
A recent newspaper article about superspreaders -- stadium events, concerts and outdoor festivals that effectively bathe crowds in Covid-19 -- noted that a boisterous fan can spew viral particles that remain airborne for as long as 12...
TOO BIG TO FAIL?

With the whole world rubbernecking at the scene of crude oil's crackup, you could lose sight of why it matters. Listening to Trump fret about it tells us nothing. He has endorsed collusion by energy suppliers, the...
The news media and the pundits flailed around over the weekend trying to come up with reasons why the broad averages have rallied to within 10%-20% of record highs even though the global economy could be headed into a depression. ZeroHedge...
Investors who think the worst is over had better prepare for the other shoe to drop. Stocks rallied sharply last week, reflecting the egregious miscalculation not only of bulls who have yet to meet a dip they could not buy, but also of...
The pros who confidently bought the dips for more than a decade are now quietly selling the rallies. During the bull market, accumulating stocks on weakness was a no-brainer, as easy a ticket to big profits as investors will ever enjoy....
In the latest update to the Rick’s Picks home page, I’ve revised an interest rate forecast for the 30-year bond to — better sit down for this — 0.73%. This is an implied recession/depression away from the current 1.60%, so you may want to...

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