Chris Ciovacco

Articles by Chris Ciovacco

 Political Bickering ContinuesThe futures were tame this morning until the U.S. Treasury issued a statement warning of “a large, adverse, and persistent financial shock” if the U.S. were to default on its debt obligations. The ominous...
 The Glass Half Empty Quad:The Fed will phase out QEWaning bullish convictionDeflationary forcesTepid global growthBullish Case Has Been CoveredRegular readers know we have backed up the longer-term bullish case with evidence from...
 Worst Week Since 2008 Financial CrisisBelow is a quick refresher course on the 2011 events that led to the “most volatile week in stocks since the 2008 financial crisis”. From Wikipedia:President Obama signed the Budget Control...
 Bears Have Allies In WashingtonMarkets hate uncertainty. Washington loves to create uncertainty since it provides leverage in political negotiations. From Bloomberg:The Senate likely will not vote on a stopgap spending bill...
 With Larry Summers out of the picture, the financial markets are facing two key questions:What does Janet Yellen want to do with interest rates?Will the market believe the Fed’s low rate pledge?Yellen Controlling Fed’s SimulatorThe...
 Many hypothesized the financial markets were less than thrilled about the possibility of a Fed led by Larry Summers. The reaction in the futures markets Sunday confirmed the theory. From Bloomberg:Lawrence Summers’s...
 President Obama has referenced numerous times the need to avoid what he called “artificial bubbles”, which led to our hypothesis the President may be leaning toward Larry Summers to fill Bernanke’s chair. This weekend we...
The best investments have positive technicals and positive fundamentals. How long the emerging trend in the China ETF (FXI) lasts will be highly dependent on the ongoing fundamental data coming from China. Reuterssummarized where...
 When the world’s largest bond fund sees over $7 billion in net outflows, it tells us the tide may have turned against the bond market bulls. From Bloomberg:The world’s biggest mutual fund keeps getting smaller. Bill Gross’s...
After seeing stocks drop over 50% in both the 2000-2003 and 2007-2009 bear markets, investors are understandably hesitant to redeploy their hard-earned money back into stocks. Given the up and down nature of the markets over the last three...

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