Silver Editorials & Commentary

Read the latest silver market commentary, editorials, essays and reports about investments and trends in the silver market and the economy in general.

 

January 6, 2014

“Las Lágrimas de la Luna” could well reach $500/oz in the next few years. This expression is how ancient Incas of Peru referred to silver…”Tears From The Moon.” Although silver production is globally widespread, tiny Peru is the world’s largest silver producer....

Get your free copy of this detailed 54 page Silver Investing Guide. Inside this comprehensive guide, you'll discover: what drove silver's historic surge, the gold/silver ratio strategy that delivered exceptional returns, why analysts forecast prices well into the hundreds, the 5-year supply crisis, how to invest after a major rally, and more. Read More.

January 5, 2014

Welcome to the New Year, and to the “New Paradigm”, where stocks go up in perpetuity because, well, because they’re going up, and because the Fed stands behind the market likes a towering Father Christmas ready to pump more money whenever the markets shows signs of...

January 4, 2014

The good news is: All of the major indices closed at all time or multi-year highs on the day before New Years Eve. The negatives: All of the major indices closed at multi-year or all-time highs last Tuesday, while the breadth indicators were mixed. In spite of a...

Current investing model favors equities and both the growth and energy sector are on major buy signals. However, there has not been a multi week correction in the major indexes for over a year now, most likely due to the four year cycle phenomenon and influence....

January 3, 2014

As we noted on January 2, the market’s current profile does not point to an imminent bear market in stocks. However, anyone who studies markets knows strong bull markets are inevitably followed by principal-destroying bear markets. When the market peaks, no one...

Since 2007, the world’s Central Banks have collectively put more than $10 trillion into the financial system since 2008. To put that number into perspective, it’s equal to roughly 15% of global GDP.

Silver is poised for a massive recovery upleg in 2014, a mean reversion from last year’s dismal action. The main driver of silver’s initial strength will be American futures speculators covering shorts. These bearish bets on silver soared to a bull-record high...

The last time housing market sentiment and precious metals prices lined up this way, we were on the cusp of massive volatility and collapse. Housing had reached the end of its long great credit driven rope. At the same time, defaults began to create tremors deep...

With a nearly 65% decline you could be forgiven for thinking that the best run is behind the white metal. I have to admit the price action has been discouraging. It is one thing to be down over 60%- after all, we saw silver decline by this much in 2008, but that...

January 2, 2014

Roughly half of the U.S. population owns stocks, which equates to approximately 156 million people. Those 156 million people along with millions more around the globe determine the value of our portfolios. When the aggregate outlook for the economy, earnings,...

January 1, 2014

The Hebrew word for Silver is the same word that is used interchangeably for Money in the Torah and Old Holy Bible Testament: Silver metal = Kesef (כסף), which also means Money. Moreover, in all Hispanic countries the word for money is the same word for silver:...

December 31, 2013

As we prepare to close the books on 2013, investors are being hit with a variety of financial forecasts for 2014. Are we better off basing investment decisions on forecasts or a method based on observing, tracking, and adjusting?

Look closely at this chart. The timing is near perfect. All silver lows take place at # 3 low. The silver bulls are just about ready to begin their ultimate stampede all the way up to # 1 - # 2. Either join those few knowledgeable bulls or get out of the way to...

December 30, 2013

The coming explosion in the value of silver will be a shock to the world due to the failure of the analyst community. I am completely amazed at the lack of quality analysis today. Except for a few good analysts, there’s a sea of lousy ones who continue to put out...

As the Christmas season passes, and the end of 2013 is upon us; this is a natural time to reflect upon what has transpired over the last year in the precious metals sector. Obviously 2013 will not be viewed as a good year, in retrospect, by precious metals investors...

Why was the stock market able to break out from the 13-year consolidation pattern we covered last Friday? The bigger picture answer may lie in the answers to these five sub-questions: Does economic data support an imminent recession? Is Europe on the brink of a...

In the last Market Overviews (and also to a considerable extent in the last several Premium Updates) we have discussed in detail differences between tapering and tightening. As we have stated, a personal change of the Fed’s chairman will not change the essence of...

Mr. Bernanke, in a move made mostly to bolster his legacy, stated in his final press conference as Chairman of the Fed that he would start to reduce asset purchases in January of 2014. Nearly every advisor on Wall Street took the news as evidence the Fed can now...

So, what the heck is going on with Silver? One can go nuts reading reports that silver is going to go through the roof while at the same time looking at its price which seems to be heading more towards the basement. Is this the storm before the calm?

One can never read tomorrow’s news today, but developing market activity can give one a higher degree of probability as to what, if not tomorrow’s then what the news will soon be sometime after. Facebook is a case in point. The Guardian ran an article on Friday,...

December 28, 2013

The good news is: All of the major indices closed at all time or multi year highs on Thursday. The negatives: There are no negatives, the market is in holiday mode, rising on low volume. The positives: Seasonality rules. The NASDAQ composite (OTC) has not been...

December 27, 2013

Psychologists say much of the reason investors have such a dismal record of buying high and selling low, of being excited and buying enthusiastically at market tops and then bailing out in disgust at market bottoms, can be explained by the ‘recency bias’ of the...

Thin holiday markets have yielded a surprise strong performance by the metal sector, not least silver and platinum. The move came during a week where US stock indices extended their gains to new all-time highs and ten-year bond yields climbed back towards three...

Much confusion persists regarding the method, or mechanics, of how the big banks are able to push the price of precious metals around at will for so long.

Chart analysis on Silver & Gold via videos.

The metal and related stocks appear poised for upside. I know what you’re thinking: How can this be? The deck has been stacked against gold and silver all year — from a drop in inflation to the craziness over Bitcoin by the anti-fiat currency types to last week’s...

Those looking for economically illiterate proposals can have a field day reading Ezra Klein's "Wonkblog" on the Washington Post. In Full Employment Gives People Jobs Klein states (citing two others) "The Federal Reserve Bank’s focus on keeping inflation below 2...

2013 has been a brutal year for silver. And a brutal year for a metal obviously doesn’t bode well for its mining stocks. Companies that have been exploring for deposits, developing mines, and producing silver have sadly become the pariahs of the markets. But if...

We were asked by a friend in the media for one prediction for 2014 and a brief explanation of our position. Silver rallies 50% as inflation expectations rise and worldwide growth reaccelerates.

December 26, 2013

As silver closes out 2013 with its second straight annual loss, many are asking when (or if) silver has bottomed. I believe that silver has either made a bottom—or is awfully close to making one. This case is made all the stronger by the complete demoralization seen...

December 24, 2013

Now What? This is What : “The question now is whether or not this is the start of a larger topping scenario and the answer to that question is for now at least, no, not by evidence showing up in our indicators like junk bond (risk on) speculation and sentiment,...

December 23, 2013

On silver’s 14-year chart we can see that, despite the severe correction since the Spring 2011 peak, it has still not broken down from the large broadening uptrend shown, nor has it dropped below the nearby zone of strong support shown. In the last update, posted on...

Before we examine how long bull markets can last, it should be noted the bulls have the fundamental and technical stars aligned for a year-end rally in stocks. From a probability perspective, the best time to invest is when charts and economic reports agree.

Many precious metal investors today are troubled by the current weakness in the price of silver and are concerned that prices could fall much lower. While the price of silver could continue to fall a bit from here, it’s more likely we will see a higher, rather...

December 21, 2013

The good news is: The NASDAQ composite (OTC) closed at a multi year high on Friday while all of the other major indices closed at all time highs. The negatives: None of the breadth indicators confirmed Friday’s highs.

The most reliable information is still found in the charts. Last week, we said to look at Bitcoin as an example of what to expect for silver, in terms of a market moving higher with impunity in a very short period of time, See A Rigged Market Coming To An End, 18th...

The Federal Reserve announced this week that it will provide $75 billion of quantitative easing (QE) in January, a massive amount, and will provide large though diminishing amounts of additional stimulus for months thereafter.

When a stock is above a moving average it is considered bullish, and the stock can be considered to be in a rising trend for that time frame. A good way to determine the market's condition (overbought/oversold) across a range of time frames is to analyze the...

December 20, 2013

We have been stating for some time the Federal Reserve was using quantitative easing (QE) as monetary lighter fluid to get the economic fire started again. The Fed desperately wants to cut back on monetary injections and pass the baton to the economy. Right or wrong...

Silver has cratered in 2013, spawning a sentiment wasteland of extreme bearishness. Yet peak despair is the very best time to buy low. Silver prices have converged on multiple major secular support zones, an exceedingly bullish technical launchpad. The white...

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