Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.

 

We are now into a second week of a partial Federal Government shut-down, which is causing considerable concern, centred on the Government’s ability to finance its debt and pay interest without a budget agreed for the new fiscal year....

The good news is: New lows have remained at non-threatening levels. The negatives: The chart below covers the past 6 months showing the S&P 500 (SPX) in red and a 10% trend (19 day EMA) of NYSE new highs (NY NH) in green. Dashed...

As far as the metals go, I’m pretty sure that the key reversal on the 28th of June was it. But again, time will tell. I mean everyday they trade above that shows that that was the bottom. We’re at $22 oz. on silver which is a far cry...

Each day more conspiracy theories are becoming conspiracy fact. From Enron to Madoff, the NSA to LIBOR, these scandals were "known" years before being acknowledged or embraced by officials or the mainstream media.

The popular take on the current debt ceiling stand-off is that the Tea Party wing of the Republican Party has a delusional belief that it can hit the brakes on new debt creation without bringing on an economic catastrophe. While...

Without getting into a dissertation on Stockholm syndrome, it can be summed up as a psychological condition where hostages come to have feelings of empathy and/or sympathy towards their captors, sometimes to the point of defending them...

The whole Debt-Ceiling Farce is a totally artificial, totally contrived event. As explained previously, the entire concept of a “debt ceiling” (for the world’s largest/greatest Deadbeat Debtor) is itself entirely absurd. Thus the shut-...

In what is BECOMING the deadliest game of CHICKEN since the August 2011 US debt ceiling Showdown, we are at the doorstep of part II. In a game of chicken, two cars rush headlong towards each other to see who veers off first....

It is an amazing and concise illustration of how, contrary to popular opinion, the borders of political entities are anything but permanent. In a historical perspective, nations and national boundaries tend to have as much permanence as...

With 98% of the politicians getting re-elected time after time, no matter what they do, including convicted felons, it should be obvious that elections do not act as term limits. The US debt, not including unfunded liabilities, is over...

The markets are beginning to realize that the major political parties learned very little during the 2011 debt downgrade talks. Our leaders seem to be headed down the same road again. The early reaction from the street was that the...

The markets are finally beginning to realize that the debt ceiling debacle, economic contraction in the US, housing bubble 2.0 bursting, China slowdown, Japan stagflation and European banking crisis are not good for stocks.

Chinese investors should be back on the “gold buying job” today. To understand why that is, please click here now. Twice a year, Chinese citizens celebrate “Golden Week”. Businesses are generally closed, and workers spend time with...

The stock market is finally beginning to show signs that the bull market may be coming to an end.

In this Weekend Report I want to continue looking at the precious metals stock indexes and the consolidation patterns that have been building out since the June low. The reason I’m spending so much time looking at this possible...

Former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson weighed in on the budget and debt ceiling gridlock in Washington and offered a solution last week by saying, “I hate the whole concept of a debt ceiling”. He also indicated that putting a legal...

US stocks generally remain on bullish trends in all time frames. Further, the Debt Ceiling (and Government shutdown) theater seems to be playing out in the usual way that these events play out; the stock market has been correcting in...

The reason for posting a new Silver Market update at this juncture is that we appear to be at an optimum “buy spot”, for gold, silver and Precious Metals ETFs and stocks, as both gold and silver have dropped back in recent weeks to mark...

It’s that time of year when I remind you of the stock market’s remarkable history of making most of its gains in the winter months, while if there is a problem it usually hits in the summer or fall months. Most investors know it as ‘...

The good news is: Like the week before, last week, the secondaries outperformed the blue chips and there was no build up of new lows. Last week was just an extension of the week before. New highs continued to deteriorate while the...

The central bankers have no rudder, adrift in a sea of fiat, taking everybody with them. Witness Cyprus and Greece being forced to walk the plank. Those who choose to stay on this Ship of Fools will suffer the same fate, even worse as...

The futures were tame this morning until the U.S. Treasury issued a statement warning of “a large, adverse, and persistent financial shock” if the U.S. were to default on its debt obligations. The ominous statement did little to break...

Oddly, and thanks in part to the rise of the precious metals ETF's, large investment and banking institutions have continued to dispense with all manner of recommendation, analysis, and commentary.

There is a rising probability that the problems facing the world’s central banks will come to a head by mid-November 2013. Below is some background and explanation.

The Rydex Ratio has reached a level where it is telling us that sentiment is too bullish, and that stock prices are vulnerable.

Anyone who bought the media buzz about a September reduction of QE - called the "taper" - was very surprised when the Federal Reserve announced that stimulus would continue unabated. According the the official narrative, inflation is...

On Wednesday, silver gained almost 2.7% and reached $22 as a weak dollar boosted commodities priced in the greenback. The US currency was under selling pressure as a U.S. government shutdown entered a second day with no end in sight....

As a media entity for whom “subtlety” is generally a dirty word; Bloomberg can be remarkably indirect when tasked with delivering an unpalatable message about its Friends. After merely a few weeks of (manipulated) price-weakness in the...

We live in a world of exploding debt, unsustainable deficit spending, Quantitative Easing, corrupt politicians, and “forever” wars that benefit the political and financial elite. We will need help to survive the collapse of failing...

The ISM has once again expanded. Policy is working, so please Dear Mr. Bernanke, begin to withdraw not only a token amount of Treasury bond asset buying in October; make a real statement for the ‘organic’ economy. Pull all T bond...

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