Silver Editorials & Commentary

Read the latest silver market commentary, editorials, essays and reports about investments and trends in the silver market and the economy in general.

 

March 31, 2016

Crude oil re-tested the green support zone (marked on the daily chart) and approached the medium-term red declining support line (seen on the weekly chart), which could encourage oil bulls to act and result in an increase to the barrier of $40 in the coming week.

FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long delineates political developments and their consequences on the global economy with Martin Armstrong, founder of Armstrong Economics.

Get your free copy of this detailed 54 page Silver Investing Guide. Inside this comprehensive guide, you'll discover: what drove silver's historic surge, the gold/silver ratio strategy that delivered exceptional returns, why analysts forecast prices well into the hundreds, the 5-year supply crisis, how to invest after a major rally, and more. Read More.

March 30, 2016

What is the better investment? Silver or Gold? Well, if we look at the following two charts below, we can spot some interesting trends. The US Mint has been producing Gold and Silver Eagles for over thirty years now. Since 1986, the US Mint has sold 21.7...

There is an economic and financial train wreck rumbling through the world economy. Namely, the Great China Ponzi. In all of economic history, there has never been anything like it. It is only a matter of time before it ends in a spectacular collapse, leaving the...

March 29, 2016

The chart below quite clearly illustrates why the Fed has no option…but to lower interest rates. Central bankers worldwide have already embraced negative rates. Therefore, it is just a matter of time before our Fed is forced to walk down the same path.

In 2010, Brazil’s Finance Minister, Guido Mantega, coined the phrase “currency war” when he complained about the “cheap” Chinese renminbi (RMB). Mantega claimed this gave China an unfair trade advantage. As he put it to the Financial Times, “we’re in the midst of an...

March 28, 2016

Our Asian edge Index and trend indicator clearly stated back in 2005, that China would lead the way in economic growth and eventually overtake the US in many areas. China now boasts the World’s Largest Middle Class, and it is growing much faster than our Middle-...

Gold went down (as the muggles would measure it in dollars). It dropped almost 40 bucks. Silver fell almost 60 cents. Since the silver price fell proportionally farther than gold, the gold-silver ratio went up.

March 26, 2016

FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long is joined by Michael Pento in discussing topics from the government debt problem, the current boom in gold and the outlook of the dollar.

Some of the breadth indicators weakened last week -- and the secondaries have underperformed the blue chips for the past two weeks. I expect the major averages to be lower on Friday April 1 than they were on Thursday March 24.

March 25, 2016

Current investing model favors bonds over equities, therefore, investors should overweigh their portfolios with bonds over stocks for safety. Cash is also a position for those who are un-invested or under invested until this model favors equities again.

March 24, 2016

The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) and Dow Jones Utility Average (DJU) indexes are often seen as leading indicator of the overall stock market. With that in mind, let’s analyse the technicals of each index.

This morning’s Durables Goods report underscored just how moribund economic growth in the US remains. Additionally we learn that US business investment remains lackluster at best. While Central Banks are spiking the punch bowl, it appears the party goers are not...

Ask any casual observer of the silver market what happened to the metal over the past five years and you’re likely to hear how the price fell from nearly $50 in April 2011 to under $14 at recent lows – a stunning decline of 70%. If you inquire further, you’ll likely...

There were two record-breaking silver factors in 2015 that could turn out to be quite an interesting development for 2016. The figures that make up these separate factors don’t seem so striking until we combine them and study at their trends.

March 22, 2016

The data above indicates that the race between renewable energy and fossil fuels is over; the inflection point was hit back in 2013 when 143 gigawatts of renewable energy were added versus 141 gigawatts that came from traditional power plants that burn fossil fuels...

America was built by “citizen champions”. Should the current gold price action be described in a similar way, as a “rally of champions”? I think so. Technically, gold is arguably overbought. It may be due for a correction according to cycle analysis, and yet the...

There is only so much value in the world economy…and it is split between all the different assets (like gold, silver, stocks, bonds, commodities, etc.) where value resides.

This morning, US existing home sales plunged and the Chicago Fed's national activity index turned negative. Both are obvious signs of a slowing economy. Anticipating this kind of news, Credit Bubble Bulletin's Doug Noland in his most recent column analyzed the...

On Friday, crude oil lost 1.30% after unexpected increase in U.S. oil rig counts. As a result, light crude slipped under $42 and closed the day under the previously-broken 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. What's next for the commodity?

Recently, Light Crude has seen a dramatic 35%+ increase in value. As the current price continue to flirt with $40 per barrel, the likelihood of a further price rise is on everyone's mind. With recent lows near $26 per barrel, what is the possibility that oil will...

The United States Geological Survey recently published its silver summary -- and it turned out to be yet another record year of global mine production for silver. The 2015 estimate will be revised, but in the last twenty years, only four years (2000, 2003, 2005, and...

If we compare the Dow Jones Index to Silver, we can spot a troubling trend. Normally when a stock price or index increases, so does the trading volume. This was true for the Dow Jones Index from 2002-2009. If we look at the chart below, we can see a normal market...

March 21, 2016

Whilst silver had a good week last week, outperforming gold and rising to multi-month new high, it looks like that may have been its "swan song" for a while. It looks quite positive at first sight on its latest 6-month chart with the new high and moving averages...

In 1958 economist William Phillips claimed there was a historical inverse relationship between the rate of unemployment and the corresponding rate of inflation. His conclusion was that full employment (whatever that means) was inflationary. He illustrated his claim...

We all know silver is volatile. When gold rallies, silver usually rallies faster and farther, particularly after the rally has been well established. Volatility is not a reason to avoid silver. Instead, now is a time to continue stacking. Yes, silver almost...

The broad stock market continued its short-term uptrend on Friday, as investors' sentiment improved even further following economic data releases, among others. The S&P 500 index has retraced most of its January sell-off. But will it continue higher despite some...

March 20, 2016

Silver Eagle sales will likely jump by 25% in the first quarter due to deteriorating market conditions. During the first three months last year the U.S. Mint sold 12 million Silver Eagles. Already, sales of Silver Eagles have reached 13 million. There are two...

The Bank of Japan and European Central Bank eased recently, which is to say they stepped up their bond buying and/or pushed interest rates further into negative territory. These kinds of things are proxies for currency devaluation in the sense that money printing...

Many readers are familiar with this cliché, but few understand its real significance. Numbers don’t lie, meaning the raw data which we collect on a nearly infinite number of subjects. Statistics, on the other hand, are rarely just raw data. Instead, they are numbers...

March 19, 2016

The trend for silver remains down for now. However, there is something going on within this market that does not confirm a change in trend…but “appears” to be indicting a one. It has been acknowledged that the fundamentals for both silver and gold are...

After 5 consecutive up weeks the market is overdue for a rest, but seasonally the 4 days prior to Good Friday have been pretty strong. I expect the major averages to be higher on Thursday March 24 than they were on Friday March 18.

Current investing model favors bonds over equities, therefore, investors should overweigh their portfolios with bonds over stocks for safety. Cash is also a position for those who are un-invested or under invested until this model favors equities again.

March 18, 2016

Silver rose 2% yesterday…and has surged 4% this week to over $16 per ounce as the Federal Reserve flip flopped regarding interest rates, lowering its expectations for rate rises this year from four back to two or just one rate rise due to “global risks.”

I read an article at Bloomberg the other day that focused upon a former mathematics professor who now runs his own Mom & Pop ‘quant’ shop (his home) from the desert plains in New Mexico. The article noted that there are big, powerful quants in New York City and...

Not so long ago the financial world viewed certain numbers as limits beyond which lay trouble. Interest rates near zero, for instance, were thought to risk destabilizing the banking system. And government fiscal deficits above 3% were considered so dangerous that...

March 17, 2016

Yesterday, the Fed announced that it had decided to leave the interest rates unchanged. However, this doesn't mean that nothing changed. There was something that the Fed said that altered the outlook.

The biggest trade of a lifetime will occur when the value of silver switches from a mere commodity to a high-quality store of value. Actually, it’s not really a trade of a lifetime, but rather a fundamental repricing of real assets verses supposed assets....

Coming up we’ll hear from David Morgan of the The Morgan Report to get his take on the advance in the metals so far this year, how long it’s likely to continue, and whether or not the Silver Guru is concerned that silver is lagging gold during this rally. Don’t miss...

The broad stock market continued its short-term uptrend on Wednesday, as investors reacted to the FOMC's Rate Decision release. The S&P 500 index got closer to its resistance level of 2,040. Will it continue higher despite some technical overbought conditions?...

Pages

The melting point for silver is 961.93 °C - 1235.08 °K

Silver Phoenix Twitter                 Silver Phoenix on Facebook

The Complete Silver Investing Guide (Free)
After Silver's Historic Rally—Is It Still Worth Buying? Free 54-page guide.