Silver Editorials & Commentary

Read the latest silver market commentary, editorials, essays and reports about investments and trends in the silver market and the economy in general.

 

October 1, 2015

It has been seven years now since that fateful weekend when the story leaked out in bits and pieces about what was called a ‘problem’ at Lehman Brothers. It started on a Friday night and by the time Sunday night rolled around and I embarked on my weekly Blog Talk...

Significant nominal peaks in the price of silver tend to come after significant nominal peaks in the Dow. This has been the case for the last 100 years at least.​

Get your free copy of this detailed 54 page Silver Investing Guide. Inside this comprehensive guide, you'll discover: what drove silver's historic surge, the gold/silver ratio strategy that delivered exceptional returns, why analysts forecast prices well into the hundreds, the 5-year supply crisis, how to invest after a major rally, and more. Read More.

September 30, 2015

One of the early signs that a cycle is about to turn down is disorder in junk bonds. That's because the companies that issue such bonds are by definition financially and/or operationally weak and therefore ultra-sensitive to changes in their environment.

While the Mainstream Media and Financial Network hacks delude Americans into believing the Fed and US Treasury are in control of the financial and economic system, investors continue on a record eight-year buying spree of silver. This multi-year silver buying trend...

September 29, 2015

Falling stock and commodity prices around the world are underscoring a change of fortunes for the global economy. As the shockwaves from Europe, China and the developing markets spreads, there is a growing sense among investors that the US might be the next...

Not only has the present retail silver bullion product shortage continued for several months now, what happens if it never ends? This may seem like a play on hype, but if the U.S. or World experiences another Black Swan event like the Lehman Brothers collapse in...

Two events occurred in the silver market recently. On Tuesday, September 22nd, and Monday, September 28th the price got hammered. While it is true – this didn’t happen in a vacuum. These downdrafts occurred across basically all markets. However, it would be a...

September 28, 2015

As I have discussed previously…if you borrow cash, then it’s not income. This is why no one in his right mind borrows to buy consumer goods. Those who try cannot sustain it for long. What if someone else borrows? Suppose someone else—let’s call her Jordyn—buys your...

September 26, 2015

Silver is on major sell signal since 2011. Short term is on buy signal. COT data is favorable for a bear market bounce.

Current investing model favors bonds over equities, therefore, investors should overweigh their portfolios with bonds over stocks for safety. Cash is also a position for those who are un-invested or under invested until this model favors equities again.

The market is oversold and the seasonal pattern is only modestly negative. I expect the major averages to be higher on Friday October 2 than they were on Friday September 25.

September 25, 2015

Silver gets little respect, but that is sensible in a world dominated by paper assets and pretend values. Similar to a murder investigation, let’s examine the motive, means and opportunity used to “manage” silver prices.

Silver bullion coins are continuing to see rising premiums and delivery delays due to continuing very robust demand and a lack of supply of all silver bullion coins.

September 24, 2015

The broad stock market fluctuated on Wednesday, as investors hesitated following recent move down. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. It looks like an upward correction within a medium-term downtrend. We prefer to be out of the market, avoiding...

The sudden end of the Fed’s ambition to raise interest rates above the zero bound, coupled with the FOMC’s minutes, which expressed concerns about emerging market economies, has got financial scribblers writing about negative interest rate policies (NIRP).

You may have heard the argument that the stock market looks better than many believe, based on the fact that several key sectors have not rolled over yet. For example, while the slope of the S&P 500's 200-day moving average is clearly negative, using the same...

September 23, 2015

After borrowing -- and largely wasting -- $15 trillion during the Great Recession, China now looks like a typical decadent developed-world country, complete with slow growth, anemic consumer spending and unstable financial markets.

The rupiah is plumbing the depths it last visited in 1998 during the Asian financial crisis. The accompanying chart of the rupiah’s value against the U.S. dollar tells the tale. Although the rupiah’s recent plunge is not as dramatic as the post July 1997 float of...

There is no other way to describe the radical change that has taken place in several areas of the silver supply market this year other than to say…. it’s quite shocking. While certain analysts stated that the silver supply would indeed fall this year, I don’t...

Predictions are that we will soon be seeing the “nuclear option” -- central bank-created money injected directly into the real economy. All other options having failed, governments will be reduced to issuing money outright to cover budget deficits. So warns a...

September 22, 2015

Last week, the FED head, Janet Yellen, announced that they were keeping interest rates pegged to zero. They haven’t raised rates now for almost 10 years.

Silver had a spectacular rise in price from about August 2010 to April 2011. In fact, it was so impressive that some thought the peak was the end of the bull market for silver. After all, silver had risen about 12.33 times from its bottom in 2001.

Financial writer Bill Holter contends the recent announcement of the Federal Reserve not to raise rates means the “Fed has Lost Control.” Holter explains, “Whatever the Fed does is wrong. The reason I say that is because no matter what they do, they can’t fix what...

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen last week blinked in the face of—as she described it—global uncertainty, low inflation, and a still-low U.S. labor force participation rate. I’ve written on the emerging markets slowdown numerous times in recent months, so her...

September 21, 2015

A popular Wall Street myth is that bear markets are caused by recessions. The contention is as long as the economy isn’t in a recession, stock prices won’t drop by more than 20 percent. And since the cheerleaders who dominate Wall Street never predict a recession,...

The broad stock market sold off on Friday, following the S&P 500's failed attempt at breaking above resistance level of 2,000. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. It looks like an upward correction within a medium-term downtrend. We prefer to...

September 20, 2015

Something strange is happening in the banking business. In theory, a low interest rate environment is generally good for banks because it allows them to borrow at, say, zero and lend to auto or home buyers at considerably more, making a nice fat interest spread,...

Hey, stay right there. I'm really happy to be here. If you know me or if you're brand new to this, I'm excited because I get to talk about what silver prices look like in the current reality versus the inevitable reality. Also this is the first time that I've been...

There's a lot of analysis on the MSM and alternative precious metal sites forecasting how the future events will play out. Unfortunately, 99% of MSM -Mainstream media’s take on the future is absolutely worthless.

September 19, 2015

The good news: The secondaries continued to outperform the blue chips. The negatives: The market has been following the average seasonal pattern quite closely and that pattern has been down for the next 2 weeks.

Silver is on major sell signal since 2011. Short term is on buy signal. COT data is favorable for a bear market bounce.

Current investing model favors bonds over equities, therefore, investors should overweigh their portfolios with bonds over stocks for safety. Cash is also a position for those who are un-invested or under invested until this model favors equities again.

September 18, 2015

DOW & Transports, Gold & Silver Price Range And GDX & GDXJ analysis via videos.

The stock market went nuts yesterday when the Fed did what anyone with an IQ higher than 70 should have easily foreseen — i.e., nothing. For the benefit of those on the wrong side of the trade, and for the umpteenth time in four years, I am going to repeat my answer...

As wait times for certain silver bullion products reach upwards of 2 months, investors are now switching over to buying gold. How much gold? Heck of a lot more when look at the figures.

September 17, 2015

Silver gets little respect, but that is sensible in a world dominated by paper assets and pretend values. Similar to a murder investigation, let’s examine the motive, means and opportunity used to “manage” silver prices.

The silver prices shown at the end of this article are outrageous and unlikely…as unlikely as the following seemed before they happened:

September 16, 2015

Some major banks -- which over the past few decades have grown into the biggest financial entities the world has ever seen -- appear to have hit a wall, and are now shedding tens of thousands of workers. Some recent examples:

September 15, 2015

The Dow Index has been the biggest obstacle to a rise in precious metals, due to it sucking up a lot of the available value on global markets. There will be no significant silver and gold rally while we have a rallying or a “close to its high” Dow.

The broad stock market remains within a short-term consolidation following its late August sell-off. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. We prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades. We will let you know when we think it...

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