Today the dollar broke through 80.40. This is a major development as it signals that the current daily cycle topped in only 2 days, thus confirming that the intermediate cycle has also topped.
Silver Editorials & Commentary
Read the latest silver market commentary, editorials, essays and reports about investments and trends in the silver market and the economy in general.
August 7, 2013
Get your free copy of this detailed 54 page Silver Investing Guide. Inside this comprehensive guide, you'll discover: what drove silver's historic surge, the gold/silver ratio strategy that delivered exceptional returns, why analysts forecast prices well into the hundreds, the 5-year supply crisis, how to invest after a major rally, and more. Read More.
August 6, 2013
Precious metals had a strong month in July. But while gold was up 5%, silver advanced only 1%. A more recent reading of the past 30 days through August 6th, shows gold up 4.9%, while silver is up only 3.3%.
By now everyone has a prediction about where the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is going to be heading in the future. Most of the sell side and their ilk are all rolling out the green bullish carpet and predicting that a major bull run is right around the corner.
Given that the demand for physical gold among private investors has remained strong throughout 2013, the significant price declines in recent months took many investors by surprise.
The largest silver producing country in the world has seen its production decline substantially in the first five months of the year. Mexico was forecasted to increase its silver production this year, however if present trends continue, total output could fall...
August 5, 2013
After seeing stocks drop over 50% in both the 2000-2003 and 2007-2009 bear markets, investors are understandably hesitant to redeploy their hard-earned money back into stocks.
August 4, 2013
Silver closed the month at 19.790 unable to maintain the $20 price level. This month has been a battle between weak precious metals and craziness in the industrial metals markets with Chinese data lackluster and US data spotty we saws ups and downs all month but in...
August 3, 2013
The good news is most of the major indices closed at all-time or multi year highs on Friday. The negatives:
Silver is giving mixed signals. Short-term the white metal has recently given Buy-Signals. But longer-term silver prices are heading the 200 ema support. Provocatively, Large Specs are at the lowest levels in years.
August 2, 2013
The Rydex Cash Flow Ratio is one of the sentiment indicators we track, and currently it is showing that investors are unusually reluctant to commit money to the current rally.
The housing and automobile industries are the main driving forces of the economy - in both directions. That makes sense since consumer spending accounts for 70% of the economy, and homes and cars are the biggest ticket items consumers spend money on.
As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information
Most observers know there have been interesting movements in commodity markets of late, much of which has to do with curious developments among some of the largest banks in the world that have been reported in the mainstream media.
One argument against silver's return to acknowledged monetary status has been that because much of the above ground silver has already been used up by industry, there simply is not enough supply to flow around in the economy, which is a primary requirement of a...
July 30, 2013
I know many of you are viewing the metals and thinking that we are exceptionally bullish, and a long lasting bottom is in place. But, I am not anywhere near as confident. Especially when I look at silver.
July 29, 2013
The good news is: New lows remained insignificant in spite of a rough week.
The Negatives: New highs have remained problematic on the NYSE.
Some truly awful economic results were released over the last week. First and foremost, we discovered that 80% of the US adults struggle with joblessness, are near poverty, or have a reliance on welfare for at least part of their lives.
One of the largest issues many have with technical analysis is linking an understanding of their fundamental “beliefs” with prices on a chart. By fundamental, we include simply the knowledge of any number of known factors, shortages, record buying of coins, people ...
July 27, 2013
Last week silver bullion and silver equities are on short-term buy signals. However, long term they remain on a sell signal, but prices are now approaching 200 ema support.
July 26, 2013
The general case for holding silver continues to improve as the MFGlobal and HSBC scandals confirm the absence of any rule of law or justice in the global financial system. The Peregrine Financial fiasco only serves to verify this somewhat jaded viewpoint.
The Antifragile Concept and Physical Precious Metals
The concept of antifragility comes from Naseem Taleb's book Antifragile. In it, he describes things and processes that thrive on mistakes and volatility.
July 25, 2013
For academics, the term "troubled currency" might be a term of art. But for people who are faced with such a currency, they know a troubled currency when they see one.
July 21, 2013
One of the main reasons why silver acts so sluggish relative to gold is a function of the gold/silver ratio, which shows that gold has been outperforming silver since March 2011-- and based on the enclosed chart, likely will continue to do so for a while longer, as...
July 20, 2013
Silver and silver equities are still basically in a bearish mode. Nonetheless Silver ETF (SLV) is on a short-term buy signal. However, long-term silver bullion is nearing i200 ema, which may provide support. Moreover, silver’s COT show Large Specs are at their...
The daily silver is similar to but not as strong as gold. Still, evidence is growing to expect some sort of rally. Until we see the how and the extent of any rally, there can be no change in the assessment that the trend remains down.
July 19, 2013
The gold and silver markets have fallen dramatically in the wake of the FOMC signaling an end to its controversial Quantitative Easing or QE programs.
July 16, 2013
Last week the price of the white metal climbed to an over two-week high after U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman said its huge stimulus program would stay in place for some time. Investors are now focused on Ben Bernanke once again.
I have not written a public article in several months. This is mainly because I have been waiting for a buying opportunity to develop in precious metals.
July 15, 2013
During the recent weeks we have seen commodities especially precious metals continue to drop in value.
If there is only one thing to teach you about the upcoming silver bull market it is that 90% of the move comes in the last 10% of the time!
July 13, 2013
Do markets send messages? Absolutely, and they are there for anyone and everyone to see as they develop. Most people like to read news about increased demand for gold and silver, record purchases for silver eagles, etc, etc, etc. The headlines over the past...
The decline in gold prices this year has been classically bearish. Each sharp drop is followed by a consolidation before another sharp drop, thus trapping buyers who have been trying to pick a bottom.
Wow is all I can say. It was the best week of the year by a long shot and we’ve had some stellar weeks to be sure.
July 12, 2013
With photography gone, and PV not plugging the gap, where is silver seeing the strongest demand...?
FOR ALL ITS monetary and investment history, silver is by far an industrial metal today.
Obviously, we can’t know if the bottom is in but I’ll repost a chart which is my best argument for why we can expect a big rebound over the coming months. The chart shows all of the worst bear markets in gold stocks.
July 10, 2013
The cognitive dissonance about the dollar never fails to amaze me. People know in their bones that their dollars will be worth a lot less in the future...yet they continue to trust and cling to the dollar as a store of value.
How solar cells affected the silver price – and how it didn't...
The Photovoltaic industry didn't start to show on charts of silver demand until the year 2000, when it consumed approximately one million ounces.
One of the most important pieces of data last week was Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report. U.S.
July 9, 2013
For decades, the American “paper gold” market (the COMEX) has been the primary market for determining the POYG (price of your gold).












