Hard as it is to believe, VXX took a crucial step Tuesday toward a longstanding target at 26.32 that until recently had seemed as remote and inaccessible as a seashell lying at the bottom of the Marianas Trench. The relentless downtrend has been driven by an equally...
Silver Editorials & Commentary
Read the latest silver market commentary, editorials, essays and reports about investments and trends in the silver market and the economy in general.
November 22, 2017
Get your free copy of this detailed 54 page Silver Investing Guide. Inside this comprehensive guide, you'll discover: what drove silver's historic surge, the gold/silver ratio strategy that delivered exceptional returns, why analysts forecast prices well into the hundreds, the 5-year supply crisis, how to invest after a major rally, and more. Read More.
November 21, 2017
Nearly 10 years after the financial crisis brought the global economy to its knees, conditions have finally improved enough to crystallize my conviction that synchronized global growth is currently underway. Revenue and earnings growth are up year-over-year, not...
November 20, 2017
Q: How high can silver really go? It seems that a lot of people are predicting $300 or $500, even $1,000? Is this even reasonable? A: This is a great question, there a lot of predictions as to how high silver, gold, bitcoin can go, but not many people have looked to...
The TIP/IEF ‘inflation gauge’ is still motoring upward after breaking above the SMA 200. If this turns the 200 up along with the MA 50 it could indicate a mini hysteria about inflation.
The Treasury opened the fiscal year 2018 with an October budget deficit of $63.2 billion. That is 37.9% larger than the $45.8 billion deficit in October of last year. The primary reason behind this surge in year-over-year deficits was a 21.6% increase in net...
Millions, billions, and trillions… When we talk about the giant size of Apple, the fortune of Warren Buffett, or the massive amount of global debt accumulated – all of these things sound large, but they are actually extremely different in magnitude.
November 19, 2017
At the same time that gold broke out of a coiling pattern to the upside on Friday, silver broke out of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern shown on its 6-month chart below. Volume was lacking on this breakout, however, and the same reservations that apply to the outlook...
In recent weeks, it was hard to avoid the topic of crude oil, turning on the TV or opening a newspaper. Developments in the Middle East, escalating tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran, the upcoming meeting of OPEC and non-OPEC ministers as well as the Baker...
November 18, 2017
I have the SPX on just day two of a new short-term Trading Cycle but many of the technical indicators I watch are showing signs that the momentum of the SPX’s longer 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle (IC) are starting to stall near the 3-month mark of the current IC...
Insanity, like criminality, usually starts small and expands with time. In the Fed’s case, the process began in the 1990s with a series of (in retrospect) relatively minor problems running from Mexico’s currency crisis thorough Russia’s bond default, the Asian...
Silver is on a major buy signal since early 2016. Major signals can last for months and years and are suitable for long-term investors. SLV is on short-term buy signal. Short term signals can last for days to weeks and are more suitable for traders. Silver is on a...
Oil sector is on a major sell signal. Investors should wait for the next major buy signal. A major correction in the major indexes is long overdue. VIX has now made a new low, and when (not if) the downtrend is broken on a monthly basis, investors should consider...
The price of silver, historically low and volatile relative to the price of gold, has been a little bit strange lately. It’s not that the metal is fluctuating beyond belief—in fact, it’s the opposite. Silver’s price range throughout 2017 has been narrow, which means...
November 17, 2017
By 2040, the world will need to add the equivalent of India and China’s current energy system to meet the demands of a surging global population and rising incomes. Among all other forms of energy, solar PV (photovoltaic system) is forecasted to see the largest and...
There is a lot of advice out there about Social Security - most of which is based on Social Security being fully inflation indexed. However, as we will establish in this first in a series of analyses, Social Security is only partially inflation indexed. As a matter...
November 16, 2017
As we lurch through successive credit crises, central bankers and economists believe they learn valuable lessons every time, and that the ultimate prize, the suppression of business cycles through monetary policy, will be achieved. Enormous effort is put into...
There is a sentiment indicator that exists in the precious metals world that can help us to find high-probability setups for major lows in the gold price – and it comes from the least likely of places: the junior silver mining sector.
Over the past several years the Naysayers have predicted the Market would crash and burn; we blatantly disagreed and opted instead to state that the market would continue to soar higher and higher. Despite the severe beating these naysayers have taken, they insist...
Before the middle of this century, the growth rates of our technology— which will be indistinguishable from ourselves— will be so steep as to appear essentially vertical.
November 15, 2017
As the Mainstream media reports about the next phase of the glorious U.S. Shale Oil Revolution, the financial carnage continues to gut the industry deep down inside the entrails of its horizontal laterals. The stench of fracking fluid must be driving shale oil...
November 14, 2017
It has been a rough year for many primary silver miners as two-thirds have suffered declines in production. Also, many high ranking silver producing countries are also experiencing a pronounced reduction in their domestic silver mine supply. According to the data...
November 13, 2017
Some of you reading this might already be familiar with the “Parable of the Talents,” but it’s worth a brief retelling. The story, which appears in the gospels of Matthew and Mark, involves a master who entrusts three servants with some of his “talents,” or gold...
While it is widely believed that commodities are one of the few "undervalued" sectors, sustained rallies have been hard to find over the past few years. Could all that be finally beginning to change?
The only other times in our history when stock prices have been this high relative to earnings, a horrifying stock market crash has always followed. Will things be different for us this time? We shall see, but without a doubt this is what a pre-crash market looks...
November 11, 2017
Oil sector is on a major sell signal. Investors should wait for the next major buy signal. A major correction in the major indexes is long overdue.
Silver is on a major buy signal since early 2016. SLV is on short-term buy signal.
November 10, 2017
The assumption in some quarters is that crypto-currencies will replace gold as money, or at least challenge it. This is an error borne out of a misunderstanding of catallactics, or the theory of exchange. It also ignores the fact that beyond a few European countries...
If someone asked you to define “free market,” could you? Could you do it on the spot without recourse to dictionaries or other crutches?
November 9, 2017
Throughout 2017, the trend with the silver price has been cyclical, lasting about a month or so before repeating another up and down pattern. But silver’s performance as of late puts a wrench in that pattern. Instead of moving up or down as consistent with the 2017...
The Quantity Theory of Money (QTM) has been around since the time of Copernicus (the 1500s). In its original and most basic form it held that the general price level would change in direct proportion to the change in the supply of money, but to get around the...
November 8, 2017
While it is widely believed that commodities are one of the few "undervalued" sectors, sustained rallies have been hard to find over the past few years. Could all that be finally beginning to change?
If you’ve made a profit from bitcoin and other cryptos, congratulations! You’re obviously a smart investor who spotted a trend early on and was able to profit. Hats off to you. But now it’s time to take some profits… right? If you were smart enough to buy in early,...
Dr. Ron Paul has long been a leading voice for limited constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, sound money, civil liberty, and non-interventionist foreign policies.
November 7, 2017
Last Thursday, congressional Republicans unveiled their tax reform legislation. On the same day, President Trump nominated current Federal Reserve Board Governor Jerome Powell to succeed Janet Yellen as Federal Reserve chair. While the tax plan dominated the...
The Trump Rally pushed ahead relentlessly through a summer full of high omens and great disasters, all which it swatted off like flies. Even so, all was not perfect in the market as nerves began to jitter midsummer beneath the surface even among the most longtime...
My original thought was to write further about the left turning on and eating each other. The volume of news, “who” and the timing seemed to indicate something very big coming down. However, another story broke out of the blue this morning from Saudi Arabia that...
November 6, 2017
I see in the commodities markets that the price of oil has gotten into the mid 50s, after spending years it seems in the 40-50 Dollar range. Prices always fluctuate, but this uptick at least bears watching.
Financial bubbles are the office Christmas parties of the investment world. They start slowly, with a certain amount of anxiety. But they end wildly, with acts and decisions that in retrospect seem really, really stupid.
November 5, 2017
Phil Murphy, a former banker with a double-digit lead in New Jersey’s race for governor, has made a state-owned bank a centerpiece of his platform. If he wins on November 7, the nation’s second state-owned bank in a century could follow.
November 4, 2017
Current investing model favors equities, therefore, investors should remain overweighed with stocks or stock ETFs for maximum growth. A monthly breakout on the VIX will be the first warning sign that a market correction is imminent.












