Silver Editorials & Commentary

Beginning this fall, and continuing throughout 2019, the stock market’s performance should be vastly different from what has occurred during the prior few years. Indeed, the huge reconciliation of stock prices is arriving now.

The big news in markets last week was the surge in Treasury yields with the US 10-year note yield spiking 17 basis points to its highest weekly closing level since April 2011. For the first time in more than 30 years the 10-year UST yield caught up with its 200-...

Our research team, at Technical Traders Ltd., has been very interested in Oil recently as the current rally appears to have rotated lower near a top.  Our predictive modeling systems, predictive cycle analysis and other tools suggest Oil/Energy may be setting up for...

One of the worst things for an over-heated and extremely leveraged economy is rising interest rates.  So, with the recent 2-2.25% interest rate, big trouble is on the horizon,  Also, with higher interest rates, the U.S. Treasury will have to fork out even more money...

Large precious metals speculators cut back on their bearish net positions in the Silver futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

This has been a most difficult stock and precious metals market to forecast. I am fortunate to have made my clients over 18% the past 6 weeks. Yesterday, I went to cash after having cashed my volatility (UVXY), short GDX (DUST) and short SPX (SPXS) ETF.

Current investing model favors equities, therefore, investors should remain overweighed with stocks or stock ETFs for maximum growth. Ignore short-term market volatility and noises.

Silver is now on a major sell signal. SLV is on short-term buy signal. Speculation remains at multi-decade low.

This article exposes the false economic concepts behind GDP, which is only the visible tip of a large iceberg of economic deceit. Describing an increase in GDP as economic growth owes its meagre validity to imprecise definition.

Ten-year yield has climbed to a new post-July 2016 (1.32%) high at 3.17%, the highest yield since July 2011, over 7 years ago! From a technical perspective, today's surge above May-Oct 2018 resistance at 3.11% is a reaction to very strong recent data showing strong...

Why is it that Italy causes such a stir in financial markets when proposing a budget? Is it politics or is the stability of the financial system at stake? In our assessment, the best way to avert a crisis is to allow market forces to play out. Let me explain.

Our focus is on developing and deploying very specialized price modeling and predictive analysis systems.  Our objective is to inform our members of these potential price moves and to assist them in finding successful trading opportunities.  We are alerting all of...

In a few previous blog posts (for example, HERE) I discussed the limitations of sentiment as a market timing tool. It certainly can be helpful to track the public’s sentiment and use it as a contrary indicator, and some of my most successful trades have been partly...

The demand-side drivers of the gold price are the Western fear trade and the Eastern love trade.  The fear trade has languished in recent years, leaving the love trade to do the “heavy lifting” for the price.

The idea that as more people move to Hurricane Alley and other storm-prone places, the future cost of those storms will rise – and that we’re not accounting for that future cost and are therefore likely to be shocked by it – makes intuitive sense.

Demand for the U.S. Mint Silver Eagles spiked again at the end of the September pushing sales nearly to three million.  In a little more than a week, Silver Eagle sales jumped from 1.9 million to 2.9 million, nearly doubling from the previous month.  Sales of Silver...

Rallying mining stocks? Forget about them. Silver is the new cool kid in the neighborhood. Having rallied by almost 50 cents in just one day, silver stole the spotlight and seems to be ready to move much higher… Or much lower.

Will you thrive, merely survive, or fail? While life has always been uncertain, today our choices matter more than ever. The decisions each of us make today will determine if we thrive, merely survive, or fail during the future time of upheaval ahead.  

The U.S. Solar PV Industry will never be able to grow large enough to power the transportation industry.  Why?  Because the amount of energy needed is well beyond the forecasted growth of U.S. solar power generation.  And, it’s even worse than that.  Industry...

Silver is now on a major sell signal. Long-term – on sell signal. Short-term – on buy signals. Looking to exit our long-term position upon a recovery rally.

Current investing model favors equities, therefore, investors should remain overweighed with stocks or stock ETFs for maximum growth. Ignore short-term market volatility and noises.

The Correlation Conundrum - Stocks and bonds have rallied sharply since the 2009 lows, delivering positive returns for equity and fixed income investors. This trend peaked in 2016, has drifted lower over the past two years and is now at risk of breaking meaningfully...

It has been long been an article of faith in the sound money community that the Fed, by bailing out every dysfunctional financial entity in sight, would eventually be forced to choose between the deflationary collapse of a mountain of bad debt and the inflationary...

Several countries and cities studied and tested a universal basic income (UBI). At first glance it looks like giveaway nonsense: Who pays for the giveaways? Does the UBI discourage work and self-improvement? How much price inflation does it create?

We’ve seen myriads of signs pointing to lower precious metals prices in the past months, weeks and days. We even discussed how ridiculously similar the current situation is to what happened in 2013, right before the $200+ decline in gold. But the final bearish...

Emerging markets continue to decouple from the U.S. market, making them look attractive as a value play—particularly distressed Chinese equities. Below I’ll share with you two big reasons why I think China is well-positioned to outperform over the long term.

Last week we introduced Uncle Buck as an ‘internal’ and boy, did he not disappoint. USD dropped through the 94 area support and closed the week that way, despite a bounce on Friday. If the breakdown is not a whipsaw, our initial target is the 200 day moving average...

The headline reads ‘Trump adds a trillion dollars to the national debt in 14 months’. Before you stop reading, give us a minute; this isn’t an article about Trump or politics for that matter. It’s about a process, a series of policies, and an approach that has been...

All things have a beginning, a middle and an end. And now, more than 3,480 days into the current bull market, the longest in history, we can say with high confidence we are very close to its end. Why?

Global financial services firm Lehman Brother’s stock was in free-fall during the first week of September 2008. After making huge bets in the mortgage securities space, Lehman’s President Dick Fuld feared bankruptcy and frantically sought out a buyer. The company...

Large precious metals speculators decreased their bearish net positions in the Silver futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

Current investing model favors equities, therefore, investors should remain overweighed with stocks or stock ETFs for maximum growth. Ignore short-term market volatility and noises.

Silver is now on a major sell signal. SLV is on short-term buy signal. Speculation remains at multi decade low. 

Shortly after I posted publicly last week’s article, “Is the COT Report Still Valid?,” commentary on my article was posted by Chris Powell, from GATA, suggesting that I consider the possibility that JPMorgan may be operating in the silver and gold markets as an...

A subscriber who qualifies as a Hidden Pivot ace broached a Dow rally target at 40,000 Thursday in the chat room, but I’m not keen on encouraging such speculation. Applying Hidden Pivot analysis to the long-term picture, I can make a case for a move to 34,450 but no...

The perspective that most have about Bitcoin ranges from complete lack of knowledge to utter certainty that it will change the world.  Moreover, there are really no true “fundamentals” with which analysts are able to even attempt to value it based upon traditional...

The sales of Silver Eagles surged in September as the U.S. Mint removed their temporary supply restriction.  As the silver price continued to trend to new lows at the beginning of the month, several large purchases of Silver Eagles by the Authorized Dealers wiped...

“History is due to repeat itself” warns Ray Dalio on Bloomberg. – “I think it will be more of a dollar crisis than a debt crisis” says Bridgewater Founder. – “It will be more of a political and social crisis…”

Wall Street has done a great job tuning out a tariff war that has grown every bit as menacing as Smoot-Hawley must have seemed in 1929. Admittedly, even Rick’s Picks at its most dour assumed just a few short months ago that everything would turn out hunky-dory.

A key difference between silver and gold prices is the fact that silver already bottomed in 1993, whereas gold bottomed only in 1999. This means that from 1993 to 1999 silver was actually in an uptrend, while gold was still caught in a downtrend. This little known ...