Silver Editorials & Commentary

Read the latest silver market commentary, editorials, essays and reports about investments and trends in the silver market and the economy in general.

 

May 8, 2019

Last year just days before the big Bitcoin breakdown we notified everyone publicly to get ready for a swift drop from $6000 to $4000 which played out perfectly within a few days. Our cycle system and technical analysis skills combined can pack a powerful punch and...

This week’s 900-point selloff is technically very similar to the 1000-pointer that occurred between February 25 and March 11. Both exceeded two prior lows on the daily chart, generating bearish ‘impulse legs’ in the process. Now, even if the Dow should recover much...

Unless you were following our research, see below, and were already aware of the many warning signs we've been posting in our continued efforts to help traders and to help educate skilled investors, you were probably caught completely off guard by the news of near...

Get your free copy of this detailed 54 page Silver Investing Guide. Inside this comprehensive guide, you'll discover: what drove silver's historic surge, the gold/silver ratio strategy that delivered exceptional returns, why analysts forecast prices well into the hundreds, the 5-year supply crisis, how to invest after a major rally, and more. Read More.

May 7, 2019

Crude oil has had an eventful session yesterday. It has closed the opening gap and the bulls have been building upon their gains till the session’s close. Earlier today however, the price appears to be rolling over and heading south. Is all hope for higher oil lost...

Late Sunday afternoon, President Trump surprised the global markets with the announcement of increased trade tariffs with China relating to the ongoing trade negotiations and delayed trade talks between the two global superpowers. The global markets reacted...

May 6, 2019

Precious Metals traders have been hanging on every turn in the markets over the past 2+ years.  The upside price move in early 2016 setup a very strong expectation that further upside price moves were about to result in an upside price explosion in metals.  Remember...

May 5, 2019

Large precious metals speculators lifted their net positions in the Silver futures markets this week into a small bullish position after declining in the previous four weeks, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures...

Some days the level of denial in the stock market twists my head into a knot — not because I am surprised at lemmings jumping over a cliff because they know all the other lemmings are going to jump. In that case, the jump will pay off because the market IS the crowd...

May 4, 2019

Silver is on a major sell signal. SLV is on short-term sell signal. COT data is favorable for overall higher silver prices.

Current investing model favors bonds, therefore, investors should be overweighed with long bonds or bond ETFs for safety.

Not so long ago, the major US political parties had very different views on monetary policy. Democrats, representing labor, wanted high government spending, low interest rates and generally easy money to create as many jobs as possible. Republicans, representing...

May 3, 2019

It looks like crude oil is set for a sizable weekly decline. After yesterday’s plunge, the market looks to have stabilized today. But is it really so? In today’s analysis, we’re bringing you the details. We objectively reveal what to expect next. Either the bulls or...

Sometimes we’re blessed not to possess insider information. Several pointed examples surfaced in the last few days. If we had known, for instance, that Fed Chairman Powell would tell the world on Wednesday that the U.S. economy is holding steady as a rock and that...

May 2, 2019

Wednesday’s trading session was bearish, as investors reacted to the FOMC Rate Decision release. However, the S&P 500 index has managed to reach yet another new record high of 2,954.13, before reversing and closing 0.8% lower. Was it a downward reversal or just...

The US Federal Reserve announced today they are leaving rates unchanged based on their latest meeting.  The markets should take this as a sign of relief.  Yet, hear all-time highs and expecting the Fed may actually decrease rates a bit, the market reacted with quiet...

May 1, 2019

Paying someone in order to lend them money seems kind of pointless. Yet the practice of stashing wealth in places where it yields nothing (and maybe even costs a bit for storage) is more common than you might think. Chinese, Russians, and Brazilians, for instance,...

We’ve raised some doubts about the bulls’ power to succeed yesterday. Indeed, they gave up most of their gains before the closing bell. Today, we haven’t seen even an upswing attempt that would fizzle out. So, is it a case closed? Given all the breaking oil news and...

April 30, 2019

The silver market appears to be setting up for a big move. After spending this spring stair-stepping lower in a narrowing range, silver prices have formed a falling wedge pattern. That pattern usually resolves in a powerful directional breakout. The good news for...

April 29, 2019

Gold was initially lower this week and reached a low of 1267.90, but by the end of the week it rallied to close at the 1288.80 level. This week we adopted our alternate count that is suggesting that all of wave *i* ended at the 1349.80 high and that we are now...

Apologies. As the bull market has ground on endlessly, I might have provided you with a precise target for the elusive Mother of All Tops. Instead, what I’ve done in recent months is pussyfoot with relatively minor rally targets of limited value.

You may be worried my prediction that a recession will start sometime this summer is not looking too good. So was I after first-quarter corporate earnings started coming in better than what economists expected. Except that barely “beating expectations” is kind of...

Stocks slightly extended their short-term uptrend on Friday, as investors reacted to the quarterly corporate earnings, better-than-expected economic data releases. The S&P 500 got very close to the September 21st record high again. Will it reach the new all-time...

April 27, 2019

Long-term – on sell signal. Short-term – on buy signal, correction is ending. Cycle is down. COT data is favorable for overall higher silver prices. 

Current investing model favors bonds, therefore, investors should be overweighed with long bonds or bond ETFs for safety.

April 26, 2019

It’s like a breath of fresh air when the futures actually finish lower on the day. Granted, the S&P slippage on Thursday amounted to only a few measly points. Would it be churlish to hope it’s the start of something really nasty? Bulls should be hoping for...

As we continue to scan the charts for setups and trigger to alert our followers, we've come across a setup that may be more ominous than what it appears.  Recently we've posted articles about how the SPY and the NQ have pushed into new all-time high price territory...

April 25, 2019

Stocks retraced some of their Tuesday’s run-up yesterday, as investors took short-term profits off the table. The S&P 500 got very close to the September 21st record high. Will it reach the new all-time high?

April 24, 2019

Global central banks have created over $20 trillion in “funny money” to bail out commercial banks, purchase stocks and ETFs, buy sovereign bonds, levitate stock markets and force interest rates lower. They implemented the central bank version of magic money tree...

The December 24-26 low in the stock market finished an E-Wave xyz bullish flag, which itself was likely an X wave of larger degree.  The move up to all time highs within only 4 months of a 20% pull back has been quite impressive. The xyz pattern is a very bullish e-...

April 23, 2019

The gold and silver bull markets have been on a roller coaster ride for almost two decades. Gold came to life in 2000, with silver crawling along between $4 and $5 until late 2003, making its first print above $10 in March 2006.

April 22, 2019

Historically speaking, a normal Fed tightening cycles consist of raising the Fed Funds Rate (FFR) by 350-425bps. It is at that point that the yield curve usually inverts--thus, disincentivizing future lending and closing down the credit conduit. At that point the...

This past week, the Silver Institute released the annual supply/demand report it commissions each year by GFMS from London. In about a month, the annual silver report compiled by CPM Group should be released. Over time, these two reports have become the prime source...

The “money supply” number as provided by official Federal Reserve statistics, it turns out, is not the true money supply. The fractional banking system allows banks to lend money on its reserve capital at a rate of 90 cents for every $1 of reserve capital....

The Dow Industrials look primed for a 900-point rally, assuming they can close for two consecutive day’s above Friday’s high. It occurred slightly beneath a 26,656 Hidden Pivot resistance that’s a good bet to show stopping power.

April 20, 2019

The US stock market is slightly overbought (which is not a positive in terms of head room for more of a rally). It’s massively built up on debt that is now more expensive to maintain and/or obtain. The Fed is still rapidly tightening money supply and says it will...

April 19, 2019

This week I had a great conversation with Matt from Silver Fortune and we talked about silver and gold in terms of accumulating physical metals and also trading paper metals for both long and short-term gains.

Silver is on a major sell signal. SLV is on short-term sell signal. COT data is favorable for overall higher silver prices.

Current investing model favors bonds, therefore, investors should be overweighed with long bonds or bond ETFs for safety.

April 18, 2019

Wednesday’s trading session was mixed, as investors hesitated following the recent rally. However, the S&P 500 was the highest since the early October yesterday, following last week’s breakout above the 2,900 level. Will the uptrend continue despite some...

According to the recently released 2019 World Silver Survey, silver investment demand was significantly higher than analysts forecasted.  How much higher?  A lot, especially since the analysts stated that silver coin and bar purchases were expected to contract due...

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Most silver is produced as a byproduct of copper, gold, lead and zinc refining.

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