Silver Editorials & Commentary

Read the latest silver market commentary, editorials, essays and reports about investments and trends in the silver market and the economy in general.

 

March 26, 2019

Stocks erased their weekly gains and bond yields fell on Friday as investors reacted to a number of economic developments. Chief among them were a Treasury yield curve inversion, the first since before the financial crisis, and continued slowdown in the pace of U.S...

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March 25, 2019

It’s tempting to think last week’s high at 2866.00 (click on inset) will mark the final gasp of an exceptionally powerful bear rally.  If so, it will have occurred in a place where we might have expected Mr. Market to spring a nasty trap on bulls and bears alike.

Friday's trading session was bearish, as stocks retraced their Thursday's advance and continued lower ahead of the weekend. The S&P 500 index was the highest since the early October on Thursday. So was the Friday's sell-off a medium-term downward reversal or...

March 24, 2019

Large precious metals speculators reduced their bullish net positions in the Silver futures markets again this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

March 23, 2019

COT data is supportive for overall higher silver prices. Long-term – on sell signal. Short-term – on buy signals. Cycle is up and the pullback may have completed. COT data is supportive for overall higher prices. 

While the 30-5 year yield curve does this, implying some inflationary issues… [30yr yield minus 5yr yield]. The more commonly watched 10-2 year does this, implying ongoing Goldilocks… While the nominal 2-year yield does this, implying “Ruh-roh!”

March 22, 2019

The Russell 2000 ETF continues to deliver critical technical and longer-term price patterns for skilled technicians.  Combining the IWM chart with the Transportation Index, Oil, Gold, and others provide a very clear picture of what to expect in the immediate future...

As alarm bells sound over the advancing destruction of the environment, a variety of Green New Deal proposals have appeared in the US and Europe, along with some interesting academic debates about how to fund them. Monetary policy, normally relegated to obscure...

March 21, 2019

In a previous analysis, we examined how to create a 21% yield, as the incidental byproduct of the Fed's plans for the cyclical containment of recession.

Stocks were mixed on Wednesday following the Fed's Rate Decision release. We saw an increased volatility after the announcement, but overall there wasn't much of a change. The S&P 500 index was the highest since the early October on Tuesday. But will the rally...

Stocks whoopee-cushioned on word from the Fed that tightening is unlikely for the remainder of the year. “Interest rate increases could be on hold indefinitely,” Powell said. “It may be some time before the outlook for jobs and inflation calls clearly for a change...

March 20, 2019

If you’ve been waiting for Mr. Market to spring the Mother of All Bull Traps, check out today’s chart. What a beauty this picture will be if Monday’s sharp reversal turns out to be the start of The Big One.  Granted, odds of getting the timing of so important a peak...

March 19, 2019

After this latest round of a deflationary recession/depression consummates, global central banks and governments will engage in an epoch battle to re-inflate asset prices such as never before contemplated. Indeed, they are laying the framework for that assault right...

DaBoyz have been artfully rotating money between a handful of high-profile stocks in order to keep this distributive rally going for as long as possible. On Monday, although the broad averages seemed leaden all day, the Dow still eked out a 65-point gain while AMZN...

Since December 24th, 2018, the small cap Russell 2000 has seen a nice rally. Our Purchasing Power Indicator caught almost all of it.

March 18, 2019

This research post highlights what we believe to be a unique price anomaly setup in many of the US major markets this week.  Our research suggests that April 21, or near this date, will be an important price inflection point base level for the US stock markets.  We...

Stocks extended their short-term uptrend on Friday, as investors' sentiment remained bullish following the recent advances. The S&P 500 index was the highest since the early October. But will the rally continue despite some short-term technical overbought...

The broad averages have rallied from their Christmas lows almost as steeply as they got there in the fourth quarter. The first 2,000 points of the Dow’s trampoline bounce took just seven trading days. At the time, we wrote that the trend would continue until even...

March 17, 2019

In the previous two segments of this research post PART I, PART II, we've hypothesized that the recent Chinese economic data and the resulting global shift to re-evaluate risk factors within China/Asia are prompting global traders/investors to seek protective...

March 16, 2019

Current investing model favors bonds, therefore, investors should be overweighed with long bonds or bond ETFs for safety.

Silver is on a major sell signal. SLV is on short term sell signal. Long-term – on sell signal. Short-term – on sell signals. Cycle is up and the pullback may have completed. COT data is supportive for overall higher prices. 

March 15, 2019

The oil bull still managed to score another day of gains yesterday. A meager advance but still an advance, one could say. And be forgiven, as they would not have had examined the full picture. Are we just teasing you now? Come on, there can’t be possibly more to the...

If you have been following our research over the past few months, you already know that we’ve called just about every major move in Gold over the past 14+ months.  Recently, we called for Gold to rally to  $1300 area, establish a minor peak, stall and retrace back...

March 14, 2019

Our research team has been alerting our followers to a potentially deep price retracement setting up in the NQ and other US stock market majors.  Although the recent price activity has pushed to newer recent highs this week, as you will see in the chart below, our...

Boeing has bounced very precisely from the 363.20 midpoint pivot shown, validating the pattern and its very bearish ‘D’ target at 323.72. This means that if and when the bounce from today’s low sputters out and the stock relapses beneath 363.20, it could fall all...

“The sovereign in the U.S. is supposed to be ‘We The People’- first three words in The Constitution. It’s not ‘We The People.’ The sovereign power of the U.S. is a criminal global banking cartel. Period. Full stop.”

March 13, 2019

In a once rare property crime now trending higher around the world, thieves are stealing precious metals from automobiles.

The welfare people and the warfare people control congress, appropriations, corruption and national policies. Implications are grim. If a nation subsidizes butter, it will get more butter. The U.S. and most other western governments subsidize welfare and warfare....

Recent news that Theresa May was unable to convince members of Parliament to even consider her current deal as well as the future political and societal consequences of any failure to move ahead with an orderly Brexit deal.  The question before traders and investors...

March 12, 2019

Euro looks to be dealing us yet another day characterized as more of the same. Many of you would ask here, does the upswing have legs? Or is it rather a dead cat bounce? Armed with insights to the teeth, it still requires patience to let the market reveal its true...

Buyers showed bold tenacity Monday, holding the broad averages steady until an extremely volatile Boeing righted itself. The stock, cherished above all others by its institutional sponsors, came under heavy pressure overnight on news that a 737 had gone down in...

March 11, 2019

Fear drives up precious metal prices. Fear of war, defaults, inflation, civil unrest and anything that undermines trust in government. A week after the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy in 2008, gold and silver jumped by 15%. Three years later, during the height of the...

March 8th, 2019 may gain some level of infamy over the next few decades.  There were two big numbers released on this day, the current Chinese economic data and the US Jobs data for February 2019.  Both numbers fell drastically lower than analysts expected and the...

March 10, 2019

Our researchers have been working overtime trying to help you stay ahead of these market moves.  You may recall that we called this current downward price rotation in the US stock market over 25 days ago?  You may recall that we called the downside price move in...

March 9, 2019

Summary: Long-term – on sell signal. Short-term – on sell signals. Cycle is up and the pullback may have completed. 

Current investing model favors bonds, therefore, investors should be overweighed with long bonds or bond ETFs for safety.

March 8, 2019

Would you believe that March and April, historically, shows a 2 to 1 statistical probability of NG moving higher.  Each of these months shows, historically, that NG has a strong potential for at least a $1.00 upside price move in both March and April.  Only 1/3 of...

March 7, 2019

Wednesday's trading session was bearish, as stocks retraced their Tuesday's advance. However, the market remained at its recent local lows. So is this a topping pattern or just a pause before another leg up?

Preppers – the sort of people who build bunkers, stockpile supplies, and bear arms – aim to survive “SHTF” scenarios. When war breaks out, when the power grid goes down, when the banks fail, when the U.S. dollar collapses, when social unrest spreads, when the stuff...

I called the shale boom and the bust over at MarketWatch. I am also on record for calling the "beginning of the end of the oil age." However, that doesn't mean that there isn't what one subscriber called at least "one more puff on the cigar."

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During 1500s the Spaniards had taken 16,000,000 kilograms of silver from Peru.

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