Silver Editorials & Commentary

The broad stock market retraced some more of its recent advance on Friday. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals. We continue to maintain our speculative short position (S&P 500 index), as we expect downward correction or an uptrend reversal....

Silver has seen its lows, and the Dow may blow off to 19700 by the end of the month, if it were to actually do so. I previously thought that such an event could occur by yearend, but everything is really stretched, almost as if ''they'' are waiting for particular...

How much money do you have in the Bank? I’m not asking your net worth. Rather, whether your net worth is positive or negative, how much do you keep in savings accounts, checking accounts, certificates of deposit, Christmas club, and other accounts with your local...

I have marked this chart with some shaded rectangular boxes that correspond to periods in which the Bollinger bands were contracting. For those who are not familiar with how to interpret the bands, when the width is widening out, volatility is increasing. Generally...

Silver is on major sell signal since 2011. Short term is on sell signal. COT data suggests lower prices overall.

Current investing model favors bonds over equities, therefore, investors should overweigh their portfolios with bonds over stocks for safety. Cash is also a position for those who are un-invested or under invested until this model favors equities again.

The broad stock market retraced some of its recent advance yesterday, as short-term volatility slightly increased. There have been no confirmed negative signals. However, we continue to maintain our speculative short position (S&P 500 index), as we expect...

Finance ministers in the Eurozone appear to have had a free lesson in game theory from Professor Yanis Varoufakis, the Greek finance minister. At the time of writing Greece's future in the Eurozone is far from secured, but it appears that Greece has achieved...

Crude oil’s various charts suggest that the effects of its recent crash have yet to play out fully and that crude oil may drop to between $30 and $35/barrel in the near/medium-term and perhaps much lower over the long-term.

The price of silver has made a spectacular decline since its high of 2011, but several technical and fundamental conditions now have metals traders wondering whether the decline is over. To that question, we answer with a resounding "yes and no," which really means...

Gas prices are some of the highest in the country in San Diego, California, and it still cost me only $2.96 a gallon to fill up my tank last week. There’s an excess of oil supplies, according to analysts. You can see from the chart below that global oil production...

The overriding issue seems to be that the money being injected by the Central Banks has nowhere to go but assets. I’ve just read an interesting article about how Americans are eating less desserts. Quote: Only 12% of dinners eaten at home include a dessert. That is...

A dear friend asked for help—the sort of help you might need too. She’s retired, lives alone, and has a modest nest egg. But the thought of losing any of her life savings terrifies her. Let’s call my friend “Sally.” Sally doesn’t trust stockbrokers or any commission...

Recently, I walked by our local Radio Shack. Strangely, my heart skipped a beat when I saw the generic clearance signs and the emptiness just beyond the glare and my reflection in the storefront glass. It was bizarre to see this fixture of my childhood almost –...

Most Americans are greedy most of the time. If we own a business, we want as much profit as we can generate. If we buy stocks, we want the price to go way up. If we work, we want to be paid as much as we can get. If we sell a house or a car, we want to get as much...

Money represents your energy and your time: the days, the weeks, the months, the years it takes you to earn it, and all the things you hope to do with it. In short, money is like stored life. axation, inflation, and artificially low interest rates are therefore...

Yes I want to be abundantly clear, as some still question my perspective, even though I have reiterated this time and again: I believe metals will see lower lows before this 3+ year correction will end. And, simply because I noted that I was keeping an open mind...

Time and again we have been witnessing a variety of actions taken by the FED as well as by the rest of the World’s Central Bankers, each one thought to be the exact right thing to do and met initially with manipulative enthusiasm only to turn back to despair in less...

Recently I authored an article whereby using technical analysis, I uncovered a potential Silver target of $300.00 an ounce. Since then I’ve been asked to investigate and support how Silver may get to such a lofty price…and or do I believe it’s even possible?

There’s a hole in your pocket you probably don’t know about. You may feel instinctively that something is wrong, but unless you look in the right place, you won’t find the problem. The money you’re losing doesn’t appear in the minus column on your account statements...

It’s no coincidence that the stock market’s steep rise in February began just days after an equally steep rise in the dollar stalled in late January. The dollar has been moving sideways ever since, extending a monotonous sine-wave correction that is setting up the...

There’s little denying that the U.S. economy is on the upswing since the recession. Manufacturing is strong, jobless claims are falling and wages are rising. Delta Airlines, which we own in our Holmes Macro Trends Fund (MEGAX), recently announced that it will be...

The best one by far is the un-photoshopped Loretta Mester in all her natural hawkish glory. Note the piercing eyes, the aerodynamic features and the focused intensity. Also I must say, at 56 she has a youthful dynamism about her. If she were Fed chief and told me...

In these all-too-interesting times, the headline I found most disturbing last week, from The Wall Street Journal, was this one: ‘Greek Troubles Cause Barely a Ripple’. This was not mere hubris but arguably something worse, since investors have aggressively been...

In this episode with Miles Franklin’s Andy Hoffman, we document the collapse as it spreads from nation to nation.

We are fast approaching the time when it will become obvious to all that mortally-wounded economies cannot be resuscitated by a massive increase in credit from central banks. Nations that suffer from tremendous capital imbalances, debt capacities and asset bubbles...

The broad stock market extended its short-term uptrend on Friday. There have been no confirmed negative signals. However, we continue to maintain our speculative short position (S&P 500 index), as we expect a downward correction or an uptrend reversal. Stop-loss...

Question: “Any solution to blatant naked short selling which has destroyed capitalism and free markets? The concept of naked short selling is insane. How can one sell legally, or in a common sense way, something he does not own?

Following the recent explosion in Commercial short and Large Spec long positions in silver, followed by a breakdown below the neckline of a potential Head-and-Shoulders bottom, the outlook for silver is bearish, with the metal stuck in a stubborn downtrend.

I’ve watched for several years now as one analyst after another has tried to call the top of this bull market. I would argue that the world is in a severe deflationary environment -- and in order to hold those deflationary forces at bay, central banks simply can’t...

Precious metals investors know a good deal when they see it. Even as the price of silver declined over the past several years, investors overwhelming preferred physical silver over paper by a huge margin. How much? A great deal more than I realized until I looked...

This is a composite index composed of securities whose movements tend to anticipate the subsequent commencing and movement of Inflation and Deflation.

During a 2011 congressional banking subcommittee hearing, Texas congressman Ron Paul - long a champion of gold's role in the financial world - asked Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke if gold is money. "No," replied Bernanke, "It's an asset." Video of this...

Copper got a bit of press attention recently with headlines of a plunge in price. This was in early January and I hadn’t looked at the copper chart for a few days and I was gobsmacked when I did. A plunge they say?! What a load of baloney!! If that was a plunge then...

According to Metals Focus, global silver production may have peaked last year with the low metals price likely to lead to mine cutbacks and closures. According to precious metals specialist research consultancy Metals Focus, a company which was primarily formed by...

After a hiccup in January the market has been following the seasonal pattern for the 3rd year of the Presidential Cycle pretty closely. That pattern calls for a little consolidation prior to a very strong March. I expect the major averages to be lower on Friday...

Current investing model favors bonds over equities, therefore, investors should overweigh their portfolios with bonds over stocks for safety. Cash is also a position for those who are un-invested or under invested until this model favors equities again.

Silver is on major sell signal since 2011. Short term is on sell signal. COT data suggests lower prices overall.

I’m on a group email list, an old fashioned list-service of mainly technology and science geeks. While there are lots of witty, seemingly intelligent and often emotional debates on all manner of issues, to my dismay there is rarely a significant discussion about of...

As recently as 9th January I wrote an article suggesting that 2015 would turn out to be the year of the slump. The title ended with a question mark, but today we are closer to removing it in favour of a definite statement.