Silver Editorials & Commentary

Read the latest silver market commentary, editorials, essays and reports about investments and trends in the silver market and the economy in general.

 

October 1, 2019

After several days of relative hesitation, oil did finally moved through and closed below an important support level, making our position immediately profitable. Can the bulls however mount a strong enough response to invalidate the breakdown? So far, it doesn’t...

History repeats itself. Not always, and not 100%, but often enough and to an extent that’s significant enough to make these repetitions potentially profitable. In order to take advantage of this tendency, we created a tool called True Seasonals (and we are now...

Readers rightfully took me to task last week for putting out two headlines that appeared to at least mildly contradict one other and which taken together could only have left one wanting more clarity. The first said Don’t Load Up on Puts Quite Yet;  the second, ...

Get your free copy of this detailed 54 page Silver Investing Guide. Inside this comprehensive guide, you'll discover: what drove silver's historic surge, the gold/silver ratio strategy that delivered exceptional returns, why analysts forecast prices well into the hundreds, the 5-year supply crisis, how to invest after a major rally, and more. Read More.

September 30, 2019

In the previous weeks we’ve been featuring multiple factors that are likely to usher in a sizable gold, silver and mining stocks’ moves. Has the very recent downswing been the opening act? The USD Index closed flat on Friday, yet the metals declined across the board...

The Fed has now begun to pave the way for a return to Quantitative Easing. The reason for this was the recent spike in borrowing rates in the Repo market. At his latest press, Chair Powell said this about the spike in the Effective Fed Funds and Repo rates:

September 29, 2019

The daily trading ranges in the silver market have increased dramatically in September. Before mid-July, silver remained below its high for 2019 at $16.20 per ounce even though gold broke out to the upside in June. The yellow metal rose above its July 2016 high and...

We believe price volatility may surprise many traders throughout the end of this year.  Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that price must rotate dramatically higher or lower to establish any new confirmed price trends.

September 28, 2019

Silver is on a major BUY signal. Major signals can last for months and years and are suitable for long-term investors. SLV is on short-term sell signal. Short term signals can last for days to weeks and are more suitable for traders.

The long-term signal on the broad market is up. However, the current investing model favors bonds, therefore, investors should continue to overweigh with long bonds or bond ETFs for safety.

September 27, 2019

We’ve been monitoring Apple shares closely because they look very likely to rise at least 10% above their current $220 price before bulls are spent. AAPL is a powerful engine for the bull market, and a big rally in the stock would all but ensure that the broad...

Last week’s failure in the US repo market might have had something to do with Deutsche Bank’s disposal of its prime brokerage to BNP, bringing an unwelcome spotlight to the troubled bank and other foreign banks with prime brokerages in America. 

The recent price collapse in Bitcoin may be the start of a much bigger price trend in the Cryptos.  The support level near $9000 has been breached and the current resistance arc, see the MAGENTA Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs on these charts, are clearly acting as a...

September 26, 2019

I am continually amazed at how every turn in the numbers and the economy seems to present new information that is bullish for gold and silver. The train of logic becomes downright laughable at times.

September 25, 2019

The prospect of negative interest rates is making people angry. They don't like the idea. For that reason some politicians call for a ban on negative interest rates because that will make voters happy. This is a price control and that doesn't bode well for financial...

September 24, 2019

If you've been following our research, you already know how accurately we've been nailing the precious metals price moves.  We've been calling Gold and Silver accurately since early 2018 and continue to focus a good portion of our efforts in studying these...

Monday’s session showcased commitment from bulls as they defended against last week’s 2980.75 key range low support on the Emini S&P500 (ES) with a double-bottom low at 2982 during Globex trading. Price remained above the daily 20 EMA in the 2970s as the whole...

The precious metals are on the verge of flashing a signal that has only appeared three other times in the last twenty years. While the signal will be positive for all of the precious metals, it is silver that looks set to shine the brightest over the next several...

The world of fixed income trading has been extremely volatile lately. Rates have not only spiked in the Treasury market but borrowing costs in money markets have also become extremely disconcerting. The residual effects from Quantitative Tightening, which ended just...

September 23, 2019

Since my last video update, the silver price has consolidated to a lower level. While I wasn’t surprised to see silver continue to correct, I do believe it’s only temporary before it begins a new leg higher. And, if we look at the COT Report for silver, there are...

We continue to alert our followers of the extended Wedge (Flag or Pennant) formation that has setup over the past 16+ months in most of the US major indexes.  The reason these are so important for skilled technical traders is because the Apex of these formations...

September 22, 2019

Large precious metals speculators trimmed their net positions in the Silver Futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

Our research team believes a massive global market price reversion/correction may be setting up…and may only be a few days or weeks away from initiating.  Our team of dedicated researchers and market analysts have been studying the markets, precious metals, and most...

September 21, 2019

Long-term – on BUY signal. Short-term – on sell signal. Cycle is down, a correction is in progress. We have taken profits and will buy back upon the completion of a correction.

The long-term signal on the broad market is up. However, the current investing model favors bonds, therefore, investors should continue to overweigh with long bonds or bond ETFs for safety. The best opportunity will be in the gold sector after the current correction...

September 20, 2019

At the beginning of a bull market silver commonly lags gold prices - that's nothing new. The lag lasts about a year before silver prices go on an epic run to catch its big brother. The breakout in gold above $1400 started the countdown to an explosive move in silver...

It’s been a big week of geopolitical strife and potential crisis points for financial markets. The week began with one of the biggest single day oil spikes on record, then saw the Federal Reserve lose control of its own interest rate in the repo market before...

The signals have persisted since the May lows in the Semi sector and in the broad markets. Nominal Semiconductor (esp. Semi Equipment) stocks and the sector’s market leadership have remained intact into our window for a projected cycle bottom, which was the 2nd half...

September 19, 2019

Volatile trading is calming down, revealing several opportunities. The euro has retraced its yesterday’s downswing, the Japanese yen is strengthening – just as the Canadian dollar is. Swiss franc is another currency we’re keeping a close eye on. But how does it...

Conceding that their grip on the economy is slipping, central bankers are proposing a radical economic reset that would shift yet more power from government to themselves.

September 17, 2019

Monday’s session played out as a range/digestion day per our weekend report expectations as the market takes a breather after the bulls completed their 3-week upside continuation assault. As you can see on the chart, the price action mimicked our 4-hour white line...

September 16, 2019

The best performing metal this week was palladium, up 4.41 percent. Central banks continue to stock up on gold – led by Russia, the world’s top buyer for seven consecutive years. Russia’s central bank quadrupled its gold holdings in the last decade and has...

One argument for last week’s extraordinary plunge in bond prices, which I explored as something that might happen this time of year in one of my earlier Premium Posts, was that bond prices could get crushed by the supersized US treasury auctions planned for...

September 15, 2019

This week ended with the S&P500, Dow Industrials and Nasdaq stalling near recent highs.  From a technical perspective, both Thursday and Friday setup small range price bars (Doji candles or small Spinning Top type bars) after the upside price move on Wednesday...

September 14, 2019

Silver is on a major BUY signal. Long-term – on BUY signal. Short-term – on sell signal. Cycle is down, a correction is in progress. We have taken profits and will buy back upon the completion of a correction.

The long-term signal on the broad market is up. However, the current investing model favors bonds, therefore, investors should continue to overweigh with long bonds or bond ETFs for safety.

September 13, 2019

Metals investors are anxiously awaiting the market’s reaction to next week’s Fed meeting. We may see players in the futures markets move to smash gold and silver prices down to lower support zones in the trading around the Fed’s decision.

I cannot profess to tell others how to effectively manage their accounts because I am a lowly participant who is learning all the time. The truth is that 2019’s learning is much different than 2018’s learning was, which was different than 2016, 2011, 2008/2009 and...

September 12, 2019

The Energy Sector ETF has been on fire recently with big price trends.  We called a bottom/buy trigger in ERY in early July that resulted in a nearly +20% rally.  Then, on August 29th, we called for ERY to rotate lower, targeting the $46 to $47 level – setting up...

Yesterday’s session gave us a resolute follow-up to Tuesday’s reversal. Price sliding like there is no tomorrow, the bears keep pushing even lower today. Not a bit lower, but very much so lower. As black gold is trading at around $54.20 as we speak, is it time to...

For a number of years, you have been insisting that silver would experience dramatic price gains. Any change in your thinking these days?

Pages

Silver (XAG) Forecast: Is a Breakout Coming as Gold’s Rally Strengthens?

Silver Phoenix Twitter                 Silver Phoenix on Facebook

The Complete Silver Investing Guide (Free)
After Silver's Historic Rally—Is It Still Worth Buying? Free 54-page guide.